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  • The paper presents a methodology for estimating high quantiles of distributions of daily temperature in a non-stationary context, based on peaks-over-threshold analysis with a time-dependent threshold expressed in terms of regression quantiles. The extreme value models are applied to estimate 20-yr return values of maximum daily temperature over Europe in transient global climate model (GCM) simulations for the 21st century. A comparison of scenarios of changes in the 20-yr return temperatures based on the non-stationary peaks-over-threshold models with conventional stationary models is performed.
  • The paper presents a methodology for estimating high quantiles of distributions of daily temperature in a non-stationary context, based on peaks-over-threshold analysis with a time-dependent threshold expressed in terms of regression quantiles. The extreme value models are applied to estimate 20-yr return values of maximum daily temperature over Europe in transient global climate model (GCM) simulations for the 21st century. A comparison of scenarios of changes in the 20-yr return temperatures based on the non-stationary peaks-over-threshold models with conventional stationary models is performed. (en)
Title
  • Estimating extremes in climate change simulations using the peaks- over-threshold method with a non-stationary threshold
  • Estimating extremes in climate change simulations using the peaks- over-threshold method with a non-stationary threshold (en)
skos:prefLabel
  • Estimating extremes in climate change simulations using the peaks- over-threshold method with a non-stationary threshold
  • Estimating extremes in climate change simulations using the peaks- over-threshold method with a non-stationary threshold (en)
skos:notation
  • RIV/46747885:24510/10:#0000066!RIV11-GA0-24510___
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivita
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivity
  • P(GA205/06/1535), P(GAP209/10/2045), P(LC06024), Z(AV0Z30420517)
http://linked.open...iv/cisloPeriodika
  • 1-2
http://linked.open...vai/riv/dodaniDat
http://linked.open...aciTvurceVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/druhVysledku
http://linked.open...iv/duvernostUdaju
http://linked.open...titaPredkladatele
http://linked.open...dnocenehoVysledku
  • 257534
http://linked.open...ai/riv/idVysledku
  • RIV/46747885:24510/10:#0000066
http://linked.open...riv/jazykVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/klicovaSlova
  • climate change; extreme value analysis; global climate models; peaks-over-threshold method; peaks-over-quantile regression; quantile regression; Poisson process; extreme temperatures (en)
http://linked.open.../riv/klicoveSlovo
http://linked.open...odStatuVydavatele
  • NL - Nizozemsko
http://linked.open...ontrolniKodProRIV
  • [11818DC41D96]
http://linked.open...i/riv/nazevZdroje
  • Global and Planetary Change
http://linked.open...in/vavai/riv/obor
http://linked.open...ichTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...cetTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...vavai/riv/projekt
http://linked.open...UplatneniVysledku
http://linked.open...v/svazekPeriodika
  • 72
http://linked.open...iv/tvurceVysledku
  • Beranová, Romana
  • Kyselý, Jan
  • Picek, Jan
http://linked.open...ain/vavai/riv/wos
  • 000279889600007
http://linked.open...n/vavai/riv/zamer
issn
  • 0921-8181
number of pages
http://localhost/t...ganizacniJednotka
  • 24510
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