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  • In this paper, we provide a segmentation procedure for mean-nonstationary time series. The segmentation is obtained by casting the problem into the. framework of detecting structural breaks in trending regression models in which the regressors are generated by suitably smooth functions. As test statistics we propose to use the maximally selected likelihood ratio statistics and a related statistics based on partial sums of weighted residuals. The main theoretical contribution of the paper establishes the extreme value distribution of these statistics and their consistency. To circumvent the slow convergence to the extreme value limit, we propose to employ a version of the circular bootstrap. This procedure is completely data-driven and does not require knowledge of the time series structure. In an empirical part, we show in a simulation study and applications to air carrier traffic and S&P 500 data that the finite sample performance is very satisfactory.
  • In this paper, we provide a segmentation procedure for mean-nonstationary time series. The segmentation is obtained by casting the problem into the. framework of detecting structural breaks in trending regression models in which the regressors are generated by suitably smooth functions. As test statistics we propose to use the maximally selected likelihood ratio statistics and a related statistics based on partial sums of weighted residuals. The main theoretical contribution of the paper establishes the extreme value distribution of these statistics and their consistency. To circumvent the slow convergence to the extreme value limit, we propose to employ a version of the circular bootstrap. This procedure is completely data-driven and does not require knowledge of the time series structure. In an empirical part, we show in a simulation study and applications to air carrier traffic and S&P 500 data that the finite sample performance is very satisfactory. (en)
Title
  • Segmenting mean-nonstationary time series via trending regressions
  • Segmenting mean-nonstationary time series via trending regressions (en)
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  • Segmenting mean-nonstationary time series via trending regressions
  • Segmenting mean-nonstationary time series via trending regressions (en)
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  • RIV/00216208:11320/12:10124946!RIV13-GA0-11320___
http://linked.open...avai/predkladatel
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivita
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivity
  • I, P(GA201/09/0755)
http://linked.open...iv/cisloPeriodika
  • 2
http://linked.open...vai/riv/dodaniDat
http://linked.open...aciTvurceVysledku
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  • 167236
http://linked.open...ai/riv/idVysledku
  • RIV/00216208:11320/12:10124946
http://linked.open...riv/jazykVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/klicovaSlova
  • Trending regression; Polynomial regression; Linear models; Gumbel distribution; Gaussian processes; Extreme value asymptotics; Circular bootstrap; LINEAR-MODELS; CHANGE-POINT (en)
http://linked.open.../riv/klicoveSlovo
http://linked.open...odStatuVydavatele
  • NL - Nizozemsko
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  • [A42D5951FCE9]
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  • JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS
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http://linked.open...UplatneniVysledku
http://linked.open...v/svazekPeriodika
  • 168
http://linked.open...iv/tvurceVysledku
  • Aue, Alexander
  • Horvath, Lajos
  • Hušková, Marie
http://linked.open...ain/vavai/riv/wos
  • 000304634800013
issn
  • 0304-4076
number of pages
http://bibframe.org/vocab/doi
  • 10.1016/j.jeconom.2012.02.003
http://localhost/t...ganizacniJednotka
  • 11320
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