About: Crown age estimation of a monocotyledonous tree species Dracaena cinnabari using logistic regression     Goto   Sponge   NotDistinct   Permalink

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Description
  • Unique woodlands of Dracaena cinnabari (DC) are at risk throughout most of their range (Socotra Island, Yemen) as a result of missing regeneration and overmaturity. Effective conservation measures depend on reliable predictions of future population dynamics, which depend on accurate data on current age structure. However, age determination of Dracaena sp. has long been a scientific challenge, because the common method of tree ring counts cannot be applied to this or to most other monocotyledonous trees. In the present study, the indirect method for crown age estimation proposed by Adolt and Pavlis (Trees 18:43--53, 2004) was further developed using a more appropriate statistical technique and an intuitive model formulation. This new technique is based on the relationship between the number of branching orders and the number of flowering events that result from a specific growth pattern. We used logistic regression to directly model annual flowering probability, the reciprocal value of which corresponds to the length of the interval between flowering events. Our methodology was applied to data sets collected at two ecologically distinct sites. In Firmihin, the time between flowering events decreases from 28 years between the first and second event to 10 years between the 25th and 26th event. The length of time between flower events in Skant, however, was estimated to be a constant value of 6.5 years. We propose the application of generalised mixed-effects models and methods of survey sampling to improve the accuracy of crown age estimation in DC. Our methodology may also be useful for age estimations of other tree species with similar growth patterns, such as Dracaena draco and Aloe dichotoma.
  • Unique woodlands of Dracaena cinnabari (DC) are at risk throughout most of their range (Socotra Island, Yemen) as a result of missing regeneration and overmaturity. Effective conservation measures depend on reliable predictions of future population dynamics, which depend on accurate data on current age structure. However, age determination of Dracaena sp. has long been a scientific challenge, because the common method of tree ring counts cannot be applied to this or to most other monocotyledonous trees. In the present study, the indirect method for crown age estimation proposed by Adolt and Pavlis (Trees 18:43--53, 2004) was further developed using a more appropriate statistical technique and an intuitive model formulation. This new technique is based on the relationship between the number of branching orders and the number of flowering events that result from a specific growth pattern. We used logistic regression to directly model annual flowering probability, the reciprocal value of which corresponds to the length of the interval between flowering events. Our methodology was applied to data sets collected at two ecologically distinct sites. In Firmihin, the time between flowering events decreases from 28 years between the first and second event to 10 years between the 25th and 26th event. The length of time between flower events in Skant, however, was estimated to be a constant value of 6.5 years. We propose the application of generalised mixed-effects models and methods of survey sampling to improve the accuracy of crown age estimation in DC. Our methodology may also be useful for age estimations of other tree species with similar growth patterns, such as Dracaena draco and Aloe dichotoma. (en)
Title
  • Crown age estimation of a monocotyledonous tree species Dracaena cinnabari using logistic regression
  • Crown age estimation of a monocotyledonous tree species Dracaena cinnabari using logistic regression (en)
skos:prefLabel
  • Crown age estimation of a monocotyledonous tree species Dracaena cinnabari using logistic regression
  • Crown age estimation of a monocotyledonous tree species Dracaena cinnabari using logistic regression (en)
skos:notation
  • RIV/62156489:43410/12:00186469!RIV13-MSM-43410___
http://linked.open...avai/predkladatel
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivita
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivity
  • Z(MSM6215648902)
http://linked.open...iv/cisloPeriodika
  • 4
http://linked.open...vai/riv/dodaniDat
http://linked.open...aciTvurceVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/druhVysledku
http://linked.open...iv/duvernostUdaju
http://linked.open...titaPredkladatele
http://linked.open...dnocenehoVysledku
  • 129101
http://linked.open...ai/riv/idVysledku
  • RIV/62156489:43410/12:00186469
http://linked.open...riv/jazykVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/klicovaSlova
  • Dracaena cinnabari; Age estimation; Tree age; Logistic regression; Socotra; Generalised linear mixed model (en)
http://linked.open.../riv/klicoveSlovo
http://linked.open...odStatuVydavatele
  • DE - Spolková republika Německo
http://linked.open...ontrolniKodProRIV
  • [4229A7F4C50E]
http://linked.open...i/riv/nazevZdroje
  • Trees - Structure and Function
http://linked.open...in/vavai/riv/obor
http://linked.open...ichTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...cetTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...UplatneniVysledku
http://linked.open...v/svazekPeriodika
  • 26
http://linked.open...iv/tvurceVysledku
  • Maděra, Petr
  • Adolt, Radim
  • Habrová, Hana
http://linked.open...ain/vavai/riv/wos
  • 306543600019
http://linked.open...n/vavai/riv/zamer
issn
  • 0931-1890
number of pages
http://bibframe.org/vocab/doi
  • 10.1007/s00468-012-0704-9
http://localhost/t...ganizacniJednotka
  • 43410
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