. "A peaks-over-threshold analysis with increasing threshold censoring is applied to estimate multi-year return levels of daily rainfall amounts in a large ensemble of control and scenario outputs of 10 regional climate models over central Europe. Specific attention is devoted to the selection of threshold values used to delineate extremes and the estimation of confidence intervals. The results show that heavy precipitation events are likely to increase in severity in winter and (with less agreement among models) also in summer; however, the inter-model and intra-model variability in the pattern and magnitude of the change is large." . "Helsinki" . "Helsinki" . . "Metoda %22increasing threshold censoring%22 k %22peaks-over-threshold%22 anal\u00FDze pravd\u011Bpodobnost\u00ED extr\u00E9mn\u00EDch jev\u016F: aplikace na v\u00FDstupy region\u00E1ln\u00EDch klimatick\u00FDch model\u016F"@cs . "Increasing threshold censoring for the peaks-over-threshold analysis of probabilities of extreme events: application to regional climate model outputs" . . "Increasing threshold censoring for the peaks-over-threshold analysis of probabilities of extreme events: application to regional climate model outputs" . . "Beranov\u00E1, Romana" . "regional climate models; climate change scenarios; extreme events; peaks-over-threshold analysis; heavy precipitation; central Europe"@en . "Kysel\u00FD, Jan" . . . "978-952-11-2790-8" . . "Increasing threshold censoring for the peaks-over-threshold analysis of probabilities of extreme events: application to regional climate model outputs"@en . "RIV/68378289:_____/07:00089601!RIV08-GA0-68378289" . "425956" . "Increasing threshold censoring for the peaks-over-threshold analysis of probabilities of extreme events: application to regional climate model outputs"@en . . "Proceedings of the third International Conference on Climate and Water" . . "[C9CF31286B25]" . . "2007-09-03+02:00"^^ . . . . "6"^^ . . . . "2"^^ . "277;282" . "Finish Environment Institute" . . . . . "RIV/68378289:_____/07:00089601" . "A peaks-over-threshold analysis with increasing threshold censoring is applied to estimate multi-year return levels of daily rainfall amounts in a large ensemble of control and scenario outputs of 10 regional climate models over central Europe. Specific attention is devoted to the selection of threshold values used to delineate extremes and the estimation of confidence intervals. The results show that heavy precipitation events are likely to increase in severity in winter and (with less agreement among models) also in summer; however, the inter-model and intra-model variability in the pattern and magnitude of the change is large."@en . "2"^^ . . . "Metoda %22increasing threshold censoring%22 k %22peaks-over-threshold%22 anal\u00FDze pravd\u011Bpodobnost\u00ED extr\u00E9mn\u00EDch jev\u016F: aplikace na v\u00FDstupy region\u00E1ln\u00EDch klimatick\u00FDch model\u016F"@cs . "Metoda \u0161pi\u010Dek nad prahy (%22peaks-over-threshold%22) s %22increasing threshold censoring%22 je aplikov\u00E1na k odhad\u016Fm vysok\u00FDch kvantil\u016F rozd\u011Blen\u00ED denn\u00EDch sr\u00E1\u017Ekov\u00FDch \u00FAhrn\u016F v mno\u017Ein\u011B kontroln\u00EDch simulac\u00ED a sc\u00E9n\u00E1\u0159\u016F z 10 region\u00E1ln\u00EDch klimatick\u00FDch model\u016F pokr\u00FDvaj\u00EDc\u00EDch st\u0159edn\u00ED Evropu. Zvl\u00E1\u0161tn\u00ED pozornost je v\u011Bnov\u00E1na volb\u011B prahov\u00FDch hodnot pou\u017Eit\u00FDch k v\u00FDb\u011Bru extr\u00E9m\u016F a odhadu interval\u016F spolehlivosti. V\u00FDsledky ukazuj\u00ED na pravd\u011Bpodobn\u00FD r\u016Fst intenzity vydatn\u00FDch sr\u00E1\u017Ekov\u00FDch ud\u00E1lost\u00ED v zim\u011B a s men\u0161\u00ED m\u00EDrou shody mezi modely v l\u00E9t\u011B; mezimodelov\u00E1 prom\u011Bnlivost pol\u00ED a velikost\u00ED zm\u011Bn stejn\u011B jako prom\u011Bnlivost v r\u00E1mci ensembl\u016F simulac\u00ED z ur\u010Dit\u00E9ho modelu jsou nicm\u00E9n\u011B velk\u00E9."@cs . "P(GA205/06/1535), P(KJB300420601), Z(AV0Z30420517)" . .