. "466653" . . . . "RIV/67985556:_____/06:00041468!RIV10-AV0-67985556" . "6"^^ . "Plze\u0148" . "Plze\u0148" . "1"^^ . "1"^^ . . "Reisnerov\u00E1, So\u0148a" . . . "Proceedings of the 24th International Conference Mathematical Methods in Economics 2006" . "P(IAA101120604), Z(AV0Z10750506)" . . . . "Z\u00E1pado\u010Desk\u00E1 univerzita v Plzni" . "Bayesian approach to change point detection of unemployment rate via MCMC methods" . "The time series of numbers of new unemployed is analyzed and modeled as a series of Poisson counts. Its intensity parameter is assumed to have a linear shape with a possible jump and trend change. The change is detected with the Markov chain Monte Carlo procedure. An application to Czech Republic data 1998-2003 is presented." . "Bayesian approach to change point detection of unemployment rate via MCMC methods"@en . . "Bayesian approach to change point detection of unemployment rate via MCMC methods"@en . "The time series of numbers of new unemployed is analyzed and modeled as a series of Poisson counts. Its intensity parameter is assumed to have a linear shape with a possible jump and trend change. The change is detected with the Markov chain Monte Carlo procedure. An application to Czech Republic data 1998-2003 is presented."@en . . "RIV/67985556:_____/06:00041468" . "978-80-7043-480-2" . "[AC1014B0BDAF]" . . . . "Change point; unemployment rate; MCMC; poisson model"@en . "Bayesian approach to change point detection of unemployment rate via MCMC methods" . . . "2006-09-13+02:00"^^ . . .