"2"^^ . "978-80-7302-131-3" . "RIV/62156489:43110/07:00113840!RIV08-MSM-43110___" . . . "Brno" . . . "Luha\u010Dovice" . "43110" . . . "Simulace ekonomick\u00E9ho prost\u0159ed\u00ED, predikce ekonomick\u00FDch ukazatel\u016F"@cs . "Popelka, Ond\u0159ej" . "Konvoj" . "2007-09-05+02:00"^^ . "The article deals with prediction of economical indicators in connection with possibilities of simulation of entire economical environment. It is obvious that discrete prediction of individual economical quantities is constraining and not always applicable. If additional elements and their relationships are incorporated into the predictive model, the usability of predicted values can be related to longer time periods from the prediction moment. The most favorable is the simulation of the economical environment as an indivisible whole including all dependencies. The paper will describe the methodology of creation a simulation system enabling simulation of economical environment. It will include the description of individual methods, mainly approaches from the field of artificial intelligence, that will be used and mutually interconnected. It is evident that for simulation of economical environment cannot be used existing commercial or freely available simulators but compact solution integrating expe"@en . . "Simulation of economical environment, prediction of economical indicators"@en . "Simulace ekonomick\u00E9ho prost\u0159ed\u00ED, predikce ekonomick\u00FDch ukazatel\u016F"@cs . "Cepl, Miroslav" . "Tento \u010Dl\u00E1nek se zab\u00FDv\u00E1 predikc\u00ED ekonomick\u00FDch ukazatel\u016F a to ve spojen\u00ED s mo\u017Enostmi simulace cel\u00E9ho ekonomick\u00E9ho prost\u0159ed\u00ED. Je evidentn\u00ED, \u017Ee diskr\u00E9tn\u00ED predikce jednotliv\u00FDch ekonomick\u00FDch veli\u010Din je zna\u010Dn\u011B omezuj\u00EDc\u00ED a ne v\u017Edy pou\u017Eiteln\u00E1. Pokud do do predik\u010Dn\u00EDho modelu zahrneme i dal\u0161\u00ED prvky a jejich vz\u00E1jemn\u00E9 vazby, jsem schopni pou\u017Eitelnost predikovan\u00FDch hodnot vztahnout i na v\u011Bt\u0161\u00ED \u010Dasov\u00FD interval od m\u00EDsta predikce. Nejp\u0159\u00EDhodn\u011Bj\u0161\u00ED by v\u0161ak bylo simulovat ekonomick\u00E9 prost\u0159ed\u00ED jako ned\u011Bliteln\u00FD celek v\u010Detn\u011B v\u0161ech z\u00E1vislost\u00ED. Snahou p\u0159\u00EDsp\u011Bvku bude popsat metodiku tvorby syst\u00E9mu umo\u017E\u0148uj\u00EDc\u00ED simulaci ekonomick\u00E9ho prost\u0159ed\u00ED. Obsahem bude popis jednotliv\u00FDch metod, zejm\u00E9na p\u0159\u00EDstup\u016F z um\u011Bl\u00E9 inteligence, jen\u017E budou v procesu \u0159e\u0161en\u00ED nasazeny a jejich vz\u00E1jemn\u00E9 prov\u00E1z\u00E1n\u00ED. Je evidentn\u00ED, \u017Ee pro v\u00FDslednou simulaci ekonomick\u00E9ho prost\u0159ed\u00ED nebude mo\u017Eno pou\u017E\u00EDt st\u00E1vaj\u00EDc\u00EDch komer\u010Dn\u00EDch, pop\u0159\u00EDpad\u011B voln\u011B dostupn\u00FDch simul\u00E1tor\u016F, ale kompaktn\u00EDho v\u00FDsledn\u00E9ho \u0159e\u0161en\u00ED integruj\u00EDc\u00ED v sob\u011B expertn\u00ED syst\u00E9m, b\u00E1zi dat, neuronov\u00E9 s\u00EDt\u011B a fuzzy" . . . "RIV/62156489:43110/07:00113840" . "78;79" . . "Tento \u010Dl\u00E1nek se zab\u00FDv\u00E1 predikc\u00ED ekonomick\u00FDch ukazatel\u016F a to ve spojen\u00ED s mo\u017Enostmi simulace cel\u00E9ho ekonomick\u00E9ho prost\u0159ed\u00ED. Je evidentn\u00ED, \u017Ee diskr\u00E9tn\u00ED predikce jednotliv\u00FDch ekonomick\u00FDch veli\u010Din je zna\u010Dn\u011B omezuj\u00EDc\u00ED a ne v\u017Edy pou\u017Eiteln\u00E1. Pokud do do predik\u010Dn\u00EDho modelu zahrneme i dal\u0161\u00ED prvky a jejich vz\u00E1jemn\u00E9 vazby, jsem schopni pou\u017Eitelnost predikovan\u00FDch hodnot vztahnout i na v\u011Bt\u0161\u00ED \u010Dasov\u00FD interval od m\u00EDsta predikce. Nejp\u0159\u00EDhodn\u011Bj\u0161\u00ED by v\u0161ak bylo simulovat ekonomick\u00E9 prost\u0159ed\u00ED jako ned\u011Bliteln\u00FD celek v\u010Detn\u011B v\u0161ech z\u00E1vislost\u00ED. Snahou p\u0159\u00EDsp\u011Bvku bude popsat metodiku tvorby syst\u00E9mu umo\u017E\u0148uj\u00EDc\u00ED simulaci ekonomick\u00E9ho prost\u0159ed\u00ED. Obsahem bude popis jednotliv\u00FDch metod, zejm\u00E9na p\u0159\u00EDstup\u016F z um\u011Bl\u00E9 inteligence, jen\u017E budou v procesu \u0159e\u0161en\u00ED nasazeny a jejich vz\u00E1jemn\u00E9 prov\u00E1z\u00E1n\u00ED. Je evidentn\u00ED, \u017Ee pro v\u00FDslednou simulaci ekonomick\u00E9ho prost\u0159ed\u00ED nebude mo\u017Eno pou\u017E\u00EDt st\u00E1vaj\u00EDc\u00EDch komer\u010Dn\u00EDch, pop\u0159\u00EDpad\u011B voln\u011B dostupn\u00FDch simul\u00E1tor\u016F, ale kompaktn\u00EDho v\u00FDsledn\u00E9ho \u0159e\u0161en\u00ED integruj\u00EDc\u00ED v sob\u011B expertn\u00ED syst\u00E9m, b\u00E1zi dat, neuronov\u00E9 s\u00EDt\u011B a fuzzy"@cs . . . . "Simulace ekonomick\u00E9ho prost\u0159ed\u00ED, predikce ekonomick\u00FDch ukazatel\u016F" . . . "Z(MSM6215648904)" . . "Simulace ekonomick\u00E9ho prost\u0159ed\u00ED, predikce ekonomick\u00FDch ukazatel\u016F" . "4"^^ . "449843" . . . "[194E9D946A3A]" . "Obchod a spot\u0159ebitel '07" . . "Pavl\u00ED\u010Dek, Martin" . "Trenz, Old\u0159ich" . "simulation; prediction; expert system; data base; simulated market environment"@en . . "Simulation of economical environment, prediction of economical indicators"@en . . "4"^^ .