. "P(EE2.3.30.0016)" . . . "1"^^ . "4094" . "Virt" . . "ARIMA with Intervention Analysis to Model and Forecast Export of Goods and Services of Slovak Republic"@en . "Bratislava" . . "http://www.fhi.sk/files/katedry/kove/ssov/VKOXVII/Zbornik2014.pdf" . . . "Pastorekov\u00E1, Silvia" . "ARIMA with Intervention Analysis to Model and Forecast Export of Goods and Services of Slovak Republic"@en . "ARIMA with Intervention Analysis to Model and Forecast Export of Goods and Services of Slovak Republic" . . "2014-05-28+02:00"^^ . . . . "5"^^ . "ARIMA with Intervention Analysis to Model and Forecast Export of Goods and Services of Slovak Republic" . "Pastorekov\u00E1, Silvia" . "Nowadays, there are a lot of methods and techniques to analyse and forecast time series. One of the most used is methodology based on autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model by Box and Jenkins. However, in some cases when the trend of time series is disturbed by unexpected external shocks using of this model does not have to provide the accurate and valid results and estimations. In this paper we attempt to model and analyze the impact of financial and global economic crisis on the export of goods and services of Slovakia. The aim of the research paper is to demonstrate the usefulness of ARIMA Intervention time series analysis as both an analytical and forecast tool. Intervention analysis is an extension of the ARIMA models to measure the effect of a policy change or external event on the outcome of a variable."@en . "Quantitative Methods in Economics : Multiple Criteria Decision Making XVII : proceedings of the international scientific conference : 28th-30th May 2014, Virt, Slovakia" . "[09B95389C570]" . "978-80-225-3868-8" . "Nowadays, there are a lot of methods and techniques to analyse and forecast time series. One of the most used is methodology based on autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model by Box and Jenkins. However, in some cases when the trend of time series is disturbed by unexpected external shocks using of this model does not have to provide the accurate and valid results and estimations. In this paper we attempt to model and analyze the impact of financial and global economic crisis on the export of goods and services of Slovakia. The aim of the research paper is to demonstrate the usefulness of ARIMA Intervention time series analysis as both an analytical and forecast tool. Intervention analysis is an extension of the ARIMA models to measure the effect of a policy change or external event on the outcome of a variable." . . . "ARIMA model, Intervention analysis, transfer function, forecast, export of goods and services of Slovak Republic"@en . "RIV/61989100:27510/14:86090512" . . . . "RIV/61989100:27510/14:86090512!RIV15-MSM-27510___" . . "Ekon\u00F3m" . "27510" . "1"^^ .