. "3" . "P(IAA711680701)" . . "1"^^ . . "[94950FBF65B9]" . . "385494" . . "1"^^ . "Cataclysm Scenario 2050\u2014Imagining the Unthinkable"@en . "\u0158\u00EDha, Josef" . "P\u0159\u00EDsp\u011Bvek nab\u00EDz\u00ED pesimistickou vizi soci\u00E1ln\u011B ekonomick\u00E9 situace na \u00FAzem\u00ED \u010CR v polovin\u011B 21. stolet\u00ED ve smyslu \u201Eworst case scenario\u201C. Jde o quazi-expertn\u00ED heuristickou \u00FAvahu vych\u00E1zej\u00EDc\u00ED z intuice autora a kontroverzn\u00EDch hypot\u00E9z; p\u0159edpokl\u00E1d\u00E1 nulovou pasivn\u00ED variantu pokra\u010Dov\u00E1n\u00ED sou\u010Dasn\u00E9ho trendu p\u0159i absenci \u0159\u00EDzen\u00E9ho vlivu okol\u00ED. Anal\u00FDza uv\u00E1d\u00ED hlavn\u00ED rysy glob\u00E1ln\u00EDho rizika pro spole\u010Dnost, str\u00E1d\u00E1n\u00ED \u010Dlov\u011Bka, \u00FAmrtnost v d\u016Fsledku p\u0159\u00EDrodn\u00EDch a um\u011Bl\u00FDch katastrof, ekonomick\u00E9 ztr\u00E1ty, dopady a \u017Eivot po ropn\u00E9m krachu, hrozby terorizmu, apod. V\u00FDznamn\u00E9 jsou politick\u00E9 d\u016Fsledky zpochybn\u011Bn\u00E9ho Vestf\u00E1lsk\u00E9ho syst\u00E9mu a environment\u00E1ln\u00ED d\u016Fsledky glob\u00E1ln\u00ED klimatick\u00E9 zm\u011Bny. Mil\u00E9nov\u00FD megatrend dramatick\u00E9ho st\u00E1rnut\u00ED a sn\u00ED\u017Een\u00ED po\u010Dtu p\u016Fvodn\u00EDho obyvatelstva v Evrop\u011B bude \u0159e\u0161en imigrac\u00ED a vyvol\u00E1 nestabilitu spole\u010Dnosti v d\u016Fsledku mo\u017En\u00E9ho pr\u016Fniku militantn\u00EDch muslim\u016F." . "8"^^ . "P\u0159\u00EDsp\u011Bvek nab\u00EDz\u00ED pesimistickou vizi soci\u00E1ln\u011B ekonomick\u00E9 situace na \u00FAzem\u00ED \u010CR v polovin\u011B 21. stolet\u00ED ve smyslu \u201Eworst case scenario\u201C. Jde o quazi-expertn\u00ED heuristickou \u00FAvahu vych\u00E1zej\u00EDc\u00ED z intuice autora a kontroverzn\u00EDch hypot\u00E9z; p\u0159edpokl\u00E1d\u00E1 nulovou pasivn\u00ED variantu pokra\u010Dov\u00E1n\u00ED sou\u010Dasn\u00E9ho trendu p\u0159i absenci \u0159\u00EDzen\u00E9ho vlivu okol\u00ED. Anal\u00FDza uv\u00E1d\u00ED hlavn\u00ED rysy glob\u00E1ln\u00EDho rizika pro spole\u010Dnost, str\u00E1d\u00E1n\u00ED \u010Dlov\u011Bka, \u00FAmrtnost v d\u016Fsledku p\u0159\u00EDrodn\u00EDch a um\u011Bl\u00FDch katastrof, ekonomick\u00E9 ztr\u00E1ty, dopady a \u017Eivot po ropn\u00E9m krachu, hrozby terorizmu, apod. V\u00FDznamn\u00E9 jsou politick\u00E9 d\u016Fsledky zpochybn\u011Bn\u00E9ho Vestf\u00E1lsk\u00E9ho syst\u00E9mu a environment\u00E1ln\u00ED d\u016Fsledky glob\u00E1ln\u00ED klimatick\u00E9 zm\u011Bny. Mil\u00E9nov\u00FD megatrend dramatick\u00E9ho st\u00E1rnut\u00ED a sn\u00ED\u017Een\u00ED po\u010Dtu p\u016Fvodn\u00EDho obyvatelstva v Evrop\u011B bude \u0159e\u0161en imigrac\u00ED a vyvol\u00E1 nestabilitu spole\u010Dnosti v d\u016Fsledku mo\u017En\u00E9ho pr\u016Fniku militantn\u00EDch muslim\u016F."@cs . "Cataclysm Scenario 2050\u2014Imagining the Unthinkable"@en . . . "global risk society"@en . . "Osudov\u00E1 vize 2050 - p\u0159edstava neuv\u011B\u0159iteln\u00E9ho"@cs . "Osudov\u00E1 vize 2050 - p\u0159edstava neuv\u011B\u0159iteln\u00E9ho" . "Vojensk\u00E9 rozhledy" . . "Osudov\u00E1 vize 2050 - p\u0159edstava neuv\u011B\u0159iteln\u00E9ho"@cs . "Osudov\u00E1 vize 2050 - p\u0159edstava neuv\u011B\u0159iteln\u00E9ho" . "The purpose of this report is to imagine the unthinkable of the worst case scenario for the global future post-modern society. The analysis addresses the main features of global risk society, human suffering, and loss of life from natural catastrophes, man-made catastrophes, economic losses, peak-oilcrises impacts, threat of terrorism, radical Islam, fragile states, etc. Important are the consequences of the end of the Vestfal system and global climate change. There is substantial evidence to indicate that significant global warming will occur during the 21st century. The research suggests that once temperature rises above some threshold, adverse weather conditions could develop relatively abruptly. As fertility shrivels, societies get older\u2014and much of Europe are set to get older than any functioning societies have ever been. To avoid collapse, European nations will need to take immigrants at a rate no stable society ever attempted. Europe will be significantly more Islamic."@en . "CZ - \u010Cesk\u00E1 republika" . "RIV/16112881:_____/08:#0000008" . . "RIV/16112881:_____/08:#0000008!RIV09-AV0-16112881" . . "17(49)" . . . "1210-3292" .