. "Vyu\u017Eit\u00ED Lee-Carterova modelu pro predikci st\u0159edn\u00ED d\u00E9lky \u017Eivota"@cs . "Vyu\u017Eit\u00ED Lee-Carterova modelu pro predikci st\u0159edn\u00ED d\u00E9lky \u017Eivota"@cs . "26" . "RIV/00216275:25410/13:39896245!RIV14-MSM-25410___" . "I" . . . . "Jindrov\u00E1, Pavla" . "PREDICTION OF LIFE EXPECTANCY USING THE LEE-CARTER MODEL"@en . "10"^^ . . "prediction; Lee-Carter model; life expectancy; mortality rate; Mortality"@en . "25410" . "Scientific Papers of the University of Pardubice, Series D, Faculty of Economics and Administration" . . . "PREDICTION OF LIFE EXPECTANCY USING THE LEE-CARTER MODEL"@en . "CZ - \u010Cesk\u00E1 republika" . . "2"^^ . . "116051" . "2"^^ . "1211-555X" . "RIV/00216275:25410/13:39896245" . . . . . "St\u00E1rnut\u00ED populace je probl\u00E9m mnoha evropsk\u00FDch zem\u00EDch, v\u010Detn\u011B \u010Cesk\u00E9 republiky. Tento probl\u00E9m souvis\u00ED s dv\u011Bma hlavn\u00EDmi faktory, zv\u00FD\u0161en\u00EDm st\u0159edn\u00ED d\u00E9lky \u017Eivota a poklesem porodnosti. V tomto \u010Dl\u00E1nku bude pops\u00E1na jedna z mo\u017Enost\u00ED, jak predikovat st\u0159edn\u00ED d\u00E9lku \u017Eivota s vyu\u017Eit\u00EDm Lee-Carterova modelu. \u010Cl\u00E1nek podrobn\u011B popisuje postup p\u0159i odhadu parametr\u016F tohoto modelu na z\u00E1klad\u011B \u00FAmrtnostn\u00EDch tabulek \u010Cesk\u00E9 republiky z let 1950 - 2009. To umo\u017E\u0148uje p\u0159edpov\u00EDdat v\u00FDvoj specifick\u00FDch m\u011Br \u00FAmrtnosti a n\u00E1sledn\u011B i v\u00FDvoj nad\u011Bje na do\u017Eit\u00ED. D\u00E1le je v tomto \u010Dl\u00E1nku p\u0159edpov\u011Bzena pr\u016Fm\u011Brn\u00E1 d\u00E9lka \u017Eivota mu\u017E\u016F a \u017Een v \u010Cesk\u00E9 republice pro obdob\u00ED 2010-2029,'v\u010Detn\u011B 95%-n\u00EDho predik\u010Dn\u00EDho intervalu." . "The ageing of the population is a problem of many European countries including the Czech Republic. This problem is related to two main factors, the increase of life expectancy and the decline of birth rate. Here, attention is given to the first factor. For the purposes of this article, Lee-Carter model, which is one of the models used for modelling of mortality, was chosen. The article details the calculation method of the Lee-Carter method coefficients and then makes an estimate of their values for the real data from the mortality tables of the Czech Republic from the years 1950-2009. This makes it possible to predict the development of specific mortality rates and consequently also the development of life expectancy. A prediction of life expectancy for men and women in the Czech Republic for the period 2010-2029 is also made in this article, 95% prediction interval for this period is determined, and already known life expectancy values are compared with the predicted values."@en . . "Slav\u00ED\u010Dek, Ond\u0159ej" . . . . "Vyu\u017Eit\u00ED Lee-Carterova modelu pro predikci st\u0159edn\u00ED d\u00E9lky \u017Eivota" . "Vyu\u017Eit\u00ED Lee-Carterova modelu pro predikci st\u0159edn\u00ED d\u00E9lky \u017Eivota" . "[9DA8BA842DDC]" . "St\u00E1rnut\u00ED populace je probl\u00E9m mnoha evropsk\u00FDch zem\u00EDch, v\u010Detn\u011B \u010Cesk\u00E9 republiky. Tento probl\u00E9m souvis\u00ED s dv\u011Bma hlavn\u00EDmi faktory, zv\u00FD\u0161en\u00EDm st\u0159edn\u00ED d\u00E9lky \u017Eivota a poklesem porodnosti. V tomto \u010Dl\u00E1nku bude pops\u00E1na jedna z mo\u017Enost\u00ED, jak predikovat st\u0159edn\u00ED d\u00E9lku \u017Eivota s vyu\u017Eit\u00EDm Lee-Carterova modelu. \u010Cl\u00E1nek podrobn\u011B popisuje postup p\u0159i odhadu parametr\u016F tohoto modelu na z\u00E1klad\u011B \u00FAmrtnostn\u00EDch tabulek \u010Cesk\u00E9 republiky z let 1950 - 2009. To umo\u017E\u0148uje p\u0159edpov\u00EDdat v\u00FDvoj specifick\u00FDch m\u011Br \u00FAmrtnosti a n\u00E1sledn\u011B i v\u00FDvoj nad\u011Bje na do\u017Eit\u00ED. D\u00E1le je v tomto \u010Dl\u00E1nku p\u0159edpov\u011Bzena pr\u016Fm\u011Brn\u00E1 d\u00E9lka \u017Eivota mu\u017E\u016F a \u017Een v \u010Cesk\u00E9 republice pro obdob\u00ED 2010-2029,'v\u010Detn\u011B 95%-n\u00EDho predik\u010Dn\u00EDho intervalu."@cs . . "Series D" .