. "Jindrov\u00E1, Pavla" . . "I" . "[8BE962A318CC]" . "\u0158\u00EDzen\u00ED a modelov\u00E1n\u00ED finan\u010Dn\u00EDch rizik" . . . "179805" . "Slav\u00ED\u010Dek, Ond\u0159ej" . . "RIV/00216275:25410/12:39894931!RIV13-MSM-25410___" . "RIV/00216275:25410/12:39894931" . "St\u00E1rnut\u00ED populace je probl\u00E9mem \u0159ady vysp\u011Bl\u00FDch zem\u00ED, nebo\u0165 s sebou p\u0159in\u00E1\u0161\u00ED finan\u010Dn\u00ED rizika ve v\u011Bt\u0161in\u011B ekonomick\u00FDch oblast\u00ED, nap\u0159. soci\u00E1ln\u00ED, d\u016Fchodov\u00E9, zdravotn\u00ED. V\u00FDvoj a predikce st\u0159edn\u00ED d\u00E9lky \u017Eivota vybran\u00FDch evropsk\u00FDch zem\u00ED je obsahem tohoto \u010Dl\u00E1nku. Je zde vyu\u017Eit Lee-Carter\u016Fv model. V \u010Dl\u00E1nku je uveden postup v\u00FDpo\u010Dtu koeficint\u016F tohoto modelu a n\u00E1sledn\u011B jsou hodnoty koeficient\u016F odhadnuty pro re\u00E1ln\u00E1 data z \u00FAmrtnost\u00EDch tabulek vybran\u00FDch evropsk\u00FDch zem\u00ED z let 1950-2009. N\u00E1sledn\u011B je provedena predikce st\u0159edn\u00ED d\u00E9lky \u017Eivota pro mu\u017Ee a \u017Eeny vybran\u00FDch evropsk\u00FDch zem\u00ED na obdob\u00ED 2010-2029 a ur\u010Den 95% interval predikce a pro ji\u017E zn\u00E1m\u00E9 hodnoty st\u0159edn\u00ED d\u00E9lky \u017Eivota je provedena komparace s predikovan\u00FDmi hodnotami." . . "The population ageing is a problem of many European countries, and it brings financial risk in most of economic areas, such as social, pension, health, etc. The development and the prediction of life expectancy in selected European countries is the content of this article. The Lee-Carter model is applied here. The first section introduces the method of calculation of the model's parameters as well as the values of the coefficients estimated for the real data from the mortality tables of selected European countries among the years 1950-2009. This allowed us to predict the development of specific mortality rates and consequently life expectancy. Thereafter, a prediction of life expectancy for men and women of selected European countries for the period 2010-2029 is carried out and a 95% prediction interval for this period is determined. Finally, already known values of life expectancy are compared with predicted values in this article."@en . "St\u00E1rnut\u00ED populace je probl\u00E9mem \u0159ady vysp\u011Bl\u00FDch zem\u00ED, nebo\u0165 s sebou p\u0159in\u00E1\u0161\u00ED finan\u010Dn\u00ED rizika ve v\u011Bt\u0161in\u011B ekonomick\u00FDch oblast\u00ED, nap\u0159. soci\u00E1ln\u00ED, d\u016Fchodov\u00E9, zdravotn\u00ED. V\u00FDvoj a predikce st\u0159edn\u00ED d\u00E9lky \u017Eivota vybran\u00FDch evropsk\u00FDch zem\u00ED je obsahem tohoto \u010Dl\u00E1nku. Je zde vyu\u017Eit Lee-Carter\u016Fv model. V \u010Dl\u00E1nku je uveden postup v\u00FDpo\u010Dtu koeficint\u016F tohoto modelu a n\u00E1sledn\u011B jsou hodnoty koeficient\u016F odhadnuty pro re\u00E1ln\u00E1 data z \u00FAmrtnost\u00EDch tabulek vybran\u00FDch evropsk\u00FDch zem\u00ED z let 1950-2009. N\u00E1sledn\u011B je provedena predikce st\u0159edn\u00ED d\u00E9lky \u017Eivota pro mu\u017Ee a \u017Eeny vybran\u00FDch evropsk\u00FDch zem\u00ED na obdob\u00ED 2010-2029 a ur\u010Den 95% interval predikce a pro ji\u017E zn\u00E1m\u00E9 hodnoty st\u0159edn\u00ED d\u00E9lky \u017Eivota je provedena komparace s predikovan\u00FDmi hodnotami."@cs . "prediction.; Lee-Carter model; life expectancy; mortality rate; Ageing"@en . . "V\u00FDvoj a predikce st\u0159edn\u00ED d\u00E9lky \u017Eivota vybran\u00FDch evropsk\u00FDch zem\u00ED"@cs . "25410" . . "10"^^ . "V\u00FDvoj a predikce st\u0159edn\u00ED d\u00E9lky \u017Eivota vybran\u00FDch evropsk\u00FDch zem\u00ED"@cs . "Ostrava" . . . "Ostrava" . . "Vysok\u00E1 \u0161kola b\u00E1\u0148sk\u00E1 - Technick\u00E1 univerzita Ostrava" . . "978-80-248-2835-0" . "V\u00FDvoj a predikce st\u0159edn\u00ED d\u00E9lky \u017Eivota vybran\u00FDch evropsk\u00FDch zem\u00ED" . . . "Life Expectancy Development and Prediction for Selected European Countries"@en . "2"^^ . . . . "2012-09-10+02:00"^^ . "2"^^ . . "Life Expectancy Development and Prediction for Selected European Countries"@en . . "V\u00FDvoj a predikce st\u0159edn\u00ED d\u00E9lky \u017Eivota vybran\u00FDch evropsk\u00FDch zem\u00ED" .