"climate change" . "Probabilistic climate scenarios for the Czech Republic"@en . . "0"^^ . "2"^^ . . "2011-03-18+01:00"^^ . . . "Byla vyvinuta (a aplikov\u00E1na pro \u010CR a dal\u0161\u00ED \u010D\u00E1sti sv\u011Bta) metoda konstrukce pravd\u011Bpodobnostn\u00EDch sc\u00E9n\u00E1\u0159\u016F budouc\u00EDho klimatu. Metoda je zalo\u017Eena na propojen\u00ED stochastick\u00E9ho meteorologick\u00E9ho gener\u00E1toru se sc\u00E9n\u00E1\u0159i podle GCM model\u016F a zohled\u0148uje zn\u00E1m\u00E9 nejistoty."@cs . " probabilistic scenarios" . "Main aim: development of probabilistic climate scenario generator, which will combine scenarios derived by various methods from the most recent GCM simulations. Pattern scaling method will be used to derive changes in surface climatic characteristics. Time series (daily and monthly) of these characteristics representing changed climate will be produced by statistical downscaling (transfer function being represented by various approaches), and stochastic weather generator modified according to the climate change scenario. Aims: (1) Validation of input GCMs. (2) Construction of scenarios and time series by individual methods and analysis of uncertainties involved. (3) Development of the probabilistic climate scenario generator, which would produce scenarios from an ensemble of scenarios derived from available GCMs with available methods, and disaggregate them into time series. (4) Assessing climate change impacts in terms of advanced clim. characteristics, e.g. hot/cold/dry/wet spells."@en . "2008-01-01+01:00"^^ . . "C\u00EDlem je v\u00FDvoj pravd\u011Bpodobnostn\u00EDho gener\u00E1toru sc\u00E9n\u00E1\u0159\u016F klimatu, kter\u00FD bude kombinovat sc\u00E9n\u00E1\u0159e odvozen\u00E9 r\u016Fzn\u00FDmi metodami z nejnov\u011Bj\u0161\u00EDch dostupn\u00FDch simulac\u00ED glob\u00E1ln\u00EDmi klimatick\u00FDmi modely (GCM). Sc\u00E9n\u00E1\u0159e definuj\u00EDc\u00ED ro\u010Dn\u00ED chod zm\u011Bn p\u0159\u00EDzemn\u00EDch klimatick\u00FDch charakteristik budou odvozeny metodou %22pattern scaling%22. \u010Casov\u00E9 \u0159ady (denn\u00ED a m\u011Bs\u00ED\u010Dn\u00ED) t\u011Bchto charakteristik budou vytvo\u0159eny pomoc\u00ED statistick\u00E9ho downscalingu (p\u0159enosov\u00E1 funkce bude vyj\u00E1d\u0159ena r\u016Fzn\u00FDmi zp\u016Fsoby) a stochastick\u00E9ho gener\u00E1toru modifikovan\u00E9ho podle sc\u00E9n\u00E1\u0159e zm\u011Bny klimatu. Hlavn\u00ED c\u00EDle: (1) Validace vstupn\u00EDch GCM model\u016F. (2) Konstrukce sc\u00E9n\u00E1\u0159\u016F zm\u011Bny klimatu a \u010Dasov\u00FDch \u0159ad a anal\u00FDza nejistot. (3) V\u00FDvoj pravd\u011Bpodobnostn\u00EDho gener\u00E1toru sc\u00E9n\u00E1\u0159\u016F klimatu, kter\u00FD bude produkovat sc\u00E9n\u00E1\u0159e zm\u011Bny klimatu ze souboru sc\u00E9n\u00E1\u0159\u016F odvozen\u00FDch z dostupn\u00FDch GCM simulac\u00ED pomoc\u00ED dostupn\u00FDch metod a n\u00E1sledn\u011B generovat \u010Dasov\u00E9 \u0159ady reprezentuj\u00EDc\u00ED zm\u011Bn\u011Bn\u00E9 klima. (4) Vyhodnocen\u00ED dopad\u016F zm\u011Bny klimatu prost\u0159ednictv\u00EDm slo\u017Eit\u011Bj\u0161\u00EDch klimatick\u00FDch charakteristik." . . . " statistical downscaling" . . . "http://www.isvav.cz/projectDetail.do?rowId=IAA300420806"^^ . "Pravd\u011Bpodobnostn\u00ED sc\u00E9n\u00E1\u0159e klimatu pro \u010Ceskou republiku" . . "9"^^ . "2011-12-31+01:00"^^ . "9"^^ . . . "IAA300420806" . . . . . . "climate change; probabilistic scenarios; statistical downscaling; stochastic weather generator"@en . "1"^^ . . "The method for constructing probabilistic future climate scenarios was developed and applied for Czechia and other parts of the world. It is based on linking a stochastic weather generator and GCM-based scenarios, and it accounts for known uncertainties."@en . "2013-06-28+02:00"^^ .