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Statements

Subject Item
n2:RIV%2F68378289%3A_____%2F10%3A00350685%21RIV11-GA0-68378289
rdf:type
skos:Concept n12:Vysledek
dcterms:description
The study examines whether recent occurrences of severe heat waves in central Europe were exceptional in the context of past fluctuations, and estimates their recurrence probabilities under several climate change scenarios. Probabilities of long and severe heat waves are estimated from daily temperature series generated by a first-order autoregressive model with a deterministic component (incorporating a seasonal cycle and a long-term trend). The return period of a heat wave reaching or exceeding the length of the 2006 heat wave in Prague is estimated to be around 120 years in 2006. The study examines whether recent occurrences of severe heat waves in central Europe were exceptional in the context of past fluctuations, and estimates their recurrence probabilities under several climate change scenarios. Probabilities of long and severe heat waves are estimated from daily temperature series generated by a first-order autoregressive model with a deterministic component (incorporating a seasonal cycle and a long-term trend). The return period of a heat wave reaching or exceeding the length of the 2006 heat wave in Prague is estimated to be around 120 years in 2006.
dcterms:title
Recent severe heat waves in central Europe: how to view them in a long-term prospect? Recent severe heat waves in central Europe: how to view them in a long-term prospect?
skos:prefLabel
Recent severe heat waves in central Europe: how to view them in a long-term prospect? Recent severe heat waves in central Europe: how to view them in a long-term prospect?
skos:notation
RIV/68378289:_____/10:00350685!RIV11-GA0-68378289
n3:aktivita
n9:P n9:Z
n3:aktivity
P(GC205/07/J044), Z(AV0Z30420517)
n3:cisloPeriodika
1
n3:dodaniDat
n13:2011
n3:domaciTvurceVysledku
n17:3596974
n3:druhVysledku
n11:J
n3:duvernostUdaju
n14:S
n3:entitaPredkladatele
n16:predkladatel
n3:idSjednocenehoVysledku
284150
n3:idVysledku
RIV/68378289:_____/10:00350685
n3:jazykVysledku
n5:eng
n3:klicovaSlova
heat wave; climate variability; regional warming; stochastic modelling; probability estimates; central Europe
n3:klicoveSlovo
n4:heat%20wave n4:climate%20variability n4:probability%20estimates n4:central%20Europe n4:regional%20warming n4:stochastic%20modelling
n3:kodStatuVydavatele
GB - Spojené království Velké Británie a Severního Irska
n3:kontrolniKodProRIV
[818709904B13]
n3:nazevZdroje
International Journal of Climatology
n3:obor
n15:DG
n3:pocetDomacichTvurcuVysledku
1
n3:pocetTvurcuVysledku
1
n3:projekt
n10:GC205%2F07%2FJ044
n3:rokUplatneniVysledku
n13:2010
n3:svazekPeriodika
30
n3:tvurceVysledku
Kyselý, Jan
n3:wos
000273682500007
n3:zamer
n18:AV0Z30420517
s:issn
0899-8418
s:numberOfPages
21