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Statements

Subject Item
n2:RIV%2F62156489%3A43210%2F06%3A00102903%21RIV07-GA0-43210___
rdf:type
skos:Concept n18:Vysledek
dcterms:description
Given scenarios describing future climates and socio-techno-economics, this study estimates the consequences for agricultural land use, combining models of crop growth and farm decision making to predict profitability over the whole of Europe, driven solely by soil and climate at each location. Each location is then classified by its profitability as intensive or extensive agriculture or not suitable for agriculture. The main effects of both climate and socio-economics were in the agriculturally marginal areas of Europe. The results showed the effect of different climates is relatively small, whereas there are large variations when economic scenarios are included. Only Finland's agricultural area significantly responds to climate by increasing at the expense of forests in several scenarios. Several locations show more difference due to climate model (PCM versus HadCM3) than emission scenario, because of large differences in predicted precipitation, notably the Ardennes switching to arable i Given scenarios describing future climates and socio-techno-economics, this study estimates the consequences for agricultural land use, combining models of crop growth and farm decision making to predict profitability over the whole of Europe, driven solely by soil and climate at each location. Each location is then classified by its profitability as intensive or extensive agriculture or not suitable for agriculture. The main effects of both climate and socio-economics were in the agriculturally marginal areas of Europe. The results showed the effect of different climates is relatively small, whereas there are large variations when economic scenarios are included. Only Finland's agricultural area significantly responds to climate by increasing at the expense of forests in several scenarios. Several locations show more difference due to climate model (PCM versus HadCM3) than emission scenario, because of large differences in predicted precipitation, notably the Ardennes switching to arable i Detailní popis je součástí anglického abstraktu.
dcterms:title
What can scenario modelling tell us about future European scale land use, and what not? Co může odhalit scénářové modelování o budoucím využitím krajiny na evropské úrovni a co ne? What can scenario modelling tell us about future European scale land use, and what not?
skos:prefLabel
Co může odhalit scénářové modelování o budoucím využitím krajiny na evropské úrovni a co ne? What can scenario modelling tell us about future European scale land use, and what not? What can scenario modelling tell us about future European scale land use, and what not?
skos:notation
RIV/62156489:43210/06:00102903!RIV07-GA0-43210___
n3:strany
148;162
n3:aktivita
n13:P
n3:aktivity
P(GP521/03/D059)
n3:cisloPeriodika
1
n3:dodaniDat
n11:2007
n3:domaciTvurceVysledku
n4:5539498
n3:druhVysledku
n14:J
n3:duvernostUdaju
n16:S
n3:entitaPredkladatele
n9:predkladatel
n3:idSjednocenehoVysledku
508956
n3:idVysledku
RIV/62156489:43210/06:00102903
n3:jazykVysledku
n5:eng
n3:klicovaSlova
Agricultural land use; Crop model; Farm decision model; climate change
n3:klicoveSlovo
n12:climate%20change n12:Crop%20model n12:Farm%20decision%20model n12:Agricultural%20land%20use
n3:kodStatuVydavatele
NL - Nizozemsko
n3:kontrolniKodProRIV
[6643F07717A3]
n3:nazevZdroje
Environmental Science & Policy
n3:obor
n15:GC
n3:pocetDomacichTvurcuVysledku
1
n3:pocetTvurcuVysledku
8
n3:projekt
n17:GP521%2F03%2FD059
n3:rokUplatneniVysledku
n11:2006
n3:svazekPeriodika
9
n3:tvurceVysledku
Pearn, K. Simota, C. Rounsevell, M. Trnka, Miroslav Cojocaru, G. Alexandrov, V. Koutsidou, E. Audsley, Eric
s:issn
1462-9011
s:numberOfPages
15
n8:organizacniJednotka
43210