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Statements

Subject Item

n2:RIV%2F61989100%3A27510%2F14%3A86090513%21RIV15-MSM-27510___

rdf:type

n9:Vysledek skos:Concept

dcterms:description

Slovakia as well as other countries was the witness of global financial and economic crisis which has broken out in September 2008 and affected all economies of the world whether in greater or lesser extent. We can observe this phenomenon in time series of macroeconomic indicators when the level of economic time series decreased significantly. Having this type of time series we face the problem how to model them, whilst using of traditional approaches might not be adequate and accurate. Way out of this situation can be provided by the intervention analysis which is used for times series disturbed by unexpected external shocks, for instance technological discoveries, political changes, natural diseases etc. In this paper we attempt to fit and analyse the impact of financial and global economic crisis. We will demonstrate the usefulness of ARIMA Intervention analysis and also its application using real data. The paper is divided into three sections. Box-Jenkins methodology is the basis of intervention analysis therefore we will dedicate one part to describe it. Second section consist of explaining and describing the nature of Intervention Analysis and finally above mentioned approaches will be applied for import of goods and services of Slovak Republic as an example. Slovakia as well as other countries was the witness of global financial and economic crisis which has broken out in September 2008 and affected all economies of the world whether in greater or lesser extent. We can observe this phenomenon in time series of macroeconomic indicators when the level of economic time series decreased significantly. Having this type of time series we face the problem how to model them, whilst using of traditional approaches might not be adequate and accurate. Way out of this situation can be provided by the intervention analysis which is used for times series disturbed by unexpected external shocks, for instance technological discoveries, political changes, natural diseases etc. In this paper we attempt to fit and analyse the impact of financial and global economic crisis. We will demonstrate the usefulness of ARIMA Intervention analysis and also its application using real data. The paper is divided into three sections. Box-Jenkins methodology is the basis of intervention analysis therefore we will dedicate one part to describe it. Second section consist of explaining and describing the nature of Intervention Analysis and finally above mentioned approaches will be applied for import of goods and services of Slovak Republic as an example.

dcterms:title

Modeling the Impact of the Global economic Crisis in Macroeconomic Indicators Modeling the Impact of the Global economic Crisis in Macroeconomic Indicators

skos:prefLabel

Modeling the Impact of the Global economic Crisis in Macroeconomic Indicators Modeling the Impact of the Global economic Crisis in Macroeconomic Indicators

skos:notation

RIV/61989100:27510/14:86090513!RIV15-MSM-27510___

n3:aktivita

n10:P

n3:aktivity

P(EE2.3.30.0016)

n3:cisloPeriodika

2

n3:dodaniDat

n14:2015

n3:domaciTvurceVysledku

Pastoreková, Silvia

n3:druhVysledku

n7:J

n3:duvernostUdaju

n5:S

n3:entitaPredkladatele

n17:predkladatel

n3:idSjednocenehoVysledku

29856

n3:idVysledku

RIV/61989100:27510/14:86090513

n3:jazykVysledku

n12:eng

n3:klicovaSlova

ARIMA model, stationarity, Interventional analysis, step and pulse function, transfer function

n3:klicoveSlovo

n4:stationarity n4:Interventional%20analysis n4:step%20and%20pulse%20function n4:transfer%20function n4:ARIMA%20model

n3:kodStatuVydavatele

SK - Slovenská republika

n3:kontrolniKodProRIV

[037679FFF57F]

n3:nazevZdroje

Ekonomika a informatika

n3:obor

n15:AH

n3:pocetDomacichTvurcuVysledku

1

n3:pocetTvurcuVysledku

1

n3:projekt

n16:EE2.3.30.0016

n3:rokUplatneniVysledku

n14:2014

n3:svazekPeriodika

2/2014

n3:tvurceVysledku

Pastoreková, Silvia

s:issn

1336-3514

s:numberOfPages

11

n8:organizacniJednotka

27510