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Statements

Subject Item
n2:RIV%2F61989100%3A27510%2F14%3A86090512%21RIV15-MSM-27510___
rdf:type
skos:Concept n12:Vysledek
rdfs:seeAlso
http://www.fhi.sk/files/katedry/kove/ssov/VKOXVII/Zbornik2014.pdf
dcterms:description
Nowadays, there are a lot of methods and techniques to analyse and forecast time series. One of the most used is methodology based on autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model by Box and Jenkins. However, in some cases when the trend of time series is disturbed by unexpected external shocks using of this model does not have to provide the accurate and valid results and estimations. In this paper we attempt to model and analyze the impact of financial and global economic crisis on the export of goods and services of Slovakia. The aim of the research paper is to demonstrate the usefulness of ARIMA Intervention time series analysis as both an analytical and forecast tool. Intervention analysis is an extension of the ARIMA models to measure the effect of a policy change or external event on the outcome of a variable. Nowadays, there are a lot of methods and techniques to analyse and forecast time series. One of the most used is methodology based on autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model by Box and Jenkins. However, in some cases when the trend of time series is disturbed by unexpected external shocks using of this model does not have to provide the accurate and valid results and estimations. In this paper we attempt to model and analyze the impact of financial and global economic crisis on the export of goods and services of Slovakia. The aim of the research paper is to demonstrate the usefulness of ARIMA Intervention time series analysis as both an analytical and forecast tool. Intervention analysis is an extension of the ARIMA models to measure the effect of a policy change or external event on the outcome of a variable.
dcterms:title
ARIMA with Intervention Analysis to Model and Forecast Export of Goods and Services of Slovak Republic ARIMA with Intervention Analysis to Model and Forecast Export of Goods and Services of Slovak Republic
skos:prefLabel
ARIMA with Intervention Analysis to Model and Forecast Export of Goods and Services of Slovak Republic ARIMA with Intervention Analysis to Model and Forecast Export of Goods and Services of Slovak Republic
skos:notation
RIV/61989100:27510/14:86090512!RIV15-MSM-27510___
n3:aktivita
n15:P
n3:aktivity
P(EE2.3.30.0016)
n3:dodaniDat
n13:2015
n3:domaciTvurceVysledku
Pastoreková, Silvia
n3:druhVysledku
n7:D
n3:duvernostUdaju
n18:S
n3:entitaPredkladatele
n11:predkladatel
n3:idSjednocenehoVysledku
4094
n3:idVysledku
RIV/61989100:27510/14:86090512
n3:jazykVysledku
n6:eng
n3:klicovaSlova
ARIMA model, Intervention analysis, transfer function, forecast, export of goods and services of Slovak Republic
n3:klicoveSlovo
n14:transfer%20function n14:export%20of%20goods%20and%20services%20of%20Slovak%20Republic n14:ARIMA%20model n14:Intervention%20analysis n14:forecast
n3:kontrolniKodProRIV
[09B95389C570]
n3:mistoKonaniAkce
Virt
n3:mistoVydani
Bratislava
n3:nazevZdroje
Quantitative Methods in Economics : Multiple Criteria Decision Making XVII : proceedings of the international scientific conference : 28th-30th May 2014, Virt, Slovakia
n3:obor
n4:AH
n3:pocetDomacichTvurcuVysledku
1
n3:pocetTvurcuVysledku
1
n3:projekt
n9:EE2.3.30.0016
n3:rokUplatneniVysledku
n13:2014
n3:tvurceVysledku
Pastoreková, Silvia
n3:typAkce
n19:EUR
n3:zahajeniAkce
2014-05-28+02:00
s:numberOfPages
5
n20:hasPublisher
Ekonóm
n17:isbn
978-80-225-3868-8
n21:organizacniJednotka
27510