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  • The paper deals with analysis of time series of heat demand course. The course of heat demand and heat consumption can be demonstrated by means of heat demand diagrams. Most important are Heat Supply Daily Diagram (HSDD), which demonstrates the course of requisite heat output during the day. This analysis is utilized for building of prediction model of HSDD. Forecast of this demand course is significant for short-term and long-term planning of heat production. This forecast is most important for technical and economic consideration. The solved prediction is specially determined for qualitative-quantitative method of hot-water piping heat output control - Balátě system which enables to eliminate transport delay. Importance of it is increased namely for controlled systems having great time constants and great transport delay. We focus on determination of difference order, autoregressive process order and moving average process order.
  • The paper deals with analysis of time series of heat demand course. The course of heat demand and heat consumption can be demonstrated by means of heat demand diagrams. Most important are Heat Supply Daily Diagram (HSDD), which demonstrates the course of requisite heat output during the day. This analysis is utilized for building of prediction model of HSDD. Forecast of this demand course is significant for short-term and long-term planning of heat production. This forecast is most important for technical and economic consideration. The solved prediction is specially determined for qualitative-quantitative method of hot-water piping heat output control - Balátě system which enables to eliminate transport delay. Importance of it is increased namely for controlled systems having great time constants and great transport delay. We focus on determination of difference order, autoregressive process order and moving average process order. (en)
  • Článek se zabývá analýzou časové řady spotřeby tepla. Průběh spotřeby tepla může být demonstrován pomocí diagramů spotřeby tepla, zejména pak denního diagramu dodávky tepla (DDDT). Analýza je využita při sestavování modelu předpovědi DDDT. Tato předpověď je významná pro krátkodobé a dlouhodobé plánování výroby tepla a je důležitá při ekonomických a ekologických úvahách. Článek se podrobně zabývá určením vhodného řádu diferencování, řádu autoregresního procesu a řádu procesu klouzavého součtu. (cs)
Title
  • Model building for prediction of heat supply daily diagram
  • Model building for prediction of heat supply daily diagram (en)
  • Výstavba modelu pro předpověď diagramu spotřeby tepla (cs)
skos:prefLabel
  • Model building for prediction of heat supply daily diagram
  • Model building for prediction of heat supply daily diagram (en)
  • Výstavba modelu pro předpověď diagramu spotřeby tepla (cs)
skos:notation
  • RIV/70883521:28140/07:63505808!RIV08-MSM-28140___
http://linked.open.../vavai/riv/strany
  • 1179-1182
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivita
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivity
  • P(GA101/06/0920), Z(MSM7088352102)
http://linked.open...vai/riv/dodaniDat
http://linked.open...aciTvurceVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/druhVysledku
http://linked.open...iv/duvernostUdaju
http://linked.open...titaPredkladatele
http://linked.open...dnocenehoVysledku
  • 434193
http://linked.open...ai/riv/idVysledku
  • RIV/70883521:28140/07:63505808
http://linked.open...riv/jazykVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/klicovaSlova
  • Prediction; District Heating Control; Box-Jenkins; Control algorithms; Time series analysis (en)
http://linked.open.../riv/klicoveSlovo
http://linked.open...ontrolniKodProRIV
  • [C388F21AC3B7]
http://linked.open...i/riv/mistoVydani
  • Zenica
http://linked.open...i/riv/nazevZdroje
  • TMT2007 11th International research/expert conference "Trends in the Development of Machinery and Associated Technology"
http://linked.open...in/vavai/riv/obor
http://linked.open...ichTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...cetTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...vavai/riv/projekt
http://linked.open...UplatneniVysledku
http://linked.open...iv/tvurceVysledku
  • Chramcov, Bronislav
  • Balátě, Jaroslav
http://linked.open...n/vavai/riv/zamer
number of pages
http://purl.org/ne...btex#hasPublisher
  • Faculty of Mechanical Engineering in Zenica
https://schema.org/isbn
  • 978-9958-617-34-8
http://localhost/t...ganizacniJednotka
  • 28140
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