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  • The main objective of the present crop simulation study was to determine the impact of climate change on the winter wheat production of a dry area situated in north-east Austria (Marchfeld region) based on the CERES-Wheat crop-growth simulation model associated with global circulation models (GCMs). The effects of some of the feasible regional- and farm-based adaptation measures (management options) on crop yield and water and nitrogen (N) balance under the climate scenarios were simulated. Climate scenarios were defined based on the ECHAM5, HadCM3 and NCAR PCM GCM simulations for future conditions (2021–50). The potential development, yield, water demand and soil N leaching were estimated for winter wheat and all of the defined climates (including rising CO2 levels) and management scenarios (soil cultivation, windbreaks and irrigation). The results showed that a warming of 2 °C in the air temperature would shorten the crop-growing period by up to 20 days and would decrease the potential winter wheat yield on nearly all of the soil types in the region. Particularly, high-yield reductions were projected for light-textured soils such as Parachernozems. A change from ploughing to minimum tillage within the future scenario would lead to an increase of up to 8% of the mean yield of winter wheat. Hedgerows, which reduce the wind speed, were predicted to have particularly positive effects on medium and moderately fine-textured soils such as Chernozems and Fluvisols. With both management changes, regional mean-yield level can be expected to be +4% in comparison with no management changes in the future conditions. The highest water demand would be on medium-textured soils, which make up the largest amount of area in the study region.
  • The main objective of the present crop simulation study was to determine the impact of climate change on the winter wheat production of a dry area situated in north-east Austria (Marchfeld region) based on the CERES-Wheat crop-growth simulation model associated with global circulation models (GCMs). The effects of some of the feasible regional- and farm-based adaptation measures (management options) on crop yield and water and nitrogen (N) balance under the climate scenarios were simulated. Climate scenarios were defined based on the ECHAM5, HadCM3 and NCAR PCM GCM simulations for future conditions (2021–50). The potential development, yield, water demand and soil N leaching were estimated for winter wheat and all of the defined climates (including rising CO2 levels) and management scenarios (soil cultivation, windbreaks and irrigation). The results showed that a warming of 2 °C in the air temperature would shorten the crop-growing period by up to 20 days and would decrease the potential winter wheat yield on nearly all of the soil types in the region. Particularly, high-yield reductions were projected for light-textured soils such as Parachernozems. A change from ploughing to minimum tillage within the future scenario would lead to an increase of up to 8% of the mean yield of winter wheat. Hedgerows, which reduce the wind speed, were predicted to have particularly positive effects on medium and moderately fine-textured soils such as Chernozems and Fluvisols. With both management changes, regional mean-yield level can be expected to be +4% in comparison with no management changes in the future conditions. The highest water demand would be on medium-textured soils, which make up the largest amount of area in the study region. (en)
Title
  • Impacts of climate change and alternative adaptation options on winter wheat yield and water productivity in a dry climate in Central Europe
  • Impacts of climate change and alternative adaptation options on winter wheat yield and water productivity in a dry climate in Central Europe (en)
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  • Impacts of climate change and alternative adaptation options on winter wheat yield and water productivity in a dry climate in Central Europe
  • Impacts of climate change and alternative adaptation options on winter wheat yield and water productivity in a dry climate in Central Europe (en)
skos:notation
  • RIV/68378289:_____/12:00380974!RIV13-AV0-68378289
http://linked.open...avai/predkladatel
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivita
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivity
  • P(IAA300420806), P(LH11010), Z(AV0Z30420517), Z(AV0Z60870520), Z(MSM6215648905)
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  • 5
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http://linked.open...aciTvurceVysledku
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http://linked.open...iv/duvernostUdaju
http://linked.open...titaPredkladatele
http://linked.open...dnocenehoVysledku
  • 140740
http://linked.open...ai/riv/idVysledku
  • RIV/68378289:_____/12:00380974
http://linked.open...riv/jazykVysledku
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  • climate change; weather generator; winter wheat; adaptation options; Central Europe (en)
http://linked.open.../riv/klicoveSlovo
http://linked.open...odStatuVydavatele
  • GB - Spojené království Velké Británie a Severního Irska
http://linked.open...ontrolniKodProRIV
  • [380B72F5BAB9]
http://linked.open...i/riv/nazevZdroje
  • Journal of Agricultural Science
http://linked.open...in/vavai/riv/obor
http://linked.open...ichTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...cetTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...vavai/riv/projekt
http://linked.open...UplatneniVysledku
http://linked.open...v/svazekPeriodika
  • 150
http://linked.open...iv/tvurceVysledku
  • Dubrovský, Martin
  • Eitzinger, Josef
  • Trnka, Miroslav
  • Thaler, S.
http://linked.open...ain/vavai/riv/wos
  • 000308856600001
http://linked.open...n/vavai/riv/zamer
issn
  • 0021-8596
number of pages
http://bibframe.org/vocab/doi
  • 10.1017/S0021859612000093
is http://linked.open...avai/riv/vysledek of
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