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Description
  • This article describes a model SAM for nowcasting precipitation in the Czech Republic. The model is based on an advective-statistical algorithm and utilises radar, satellite, lightning and numerice weather prediction (NWP) model prognostic data. The statistical part of the model is complemented by a distribution correction of forecasted values. The model provides forecasts for mean 1-h, 2-h and 3-h precipitation totals in 9 km by 9 km grid cells. The accuracy of the forecasts is evaluated with independent data by the root-mean-square error, absolute error, bias, and the critical success index (CSI) categorical skill score after transforming the quantitative forecasts into categorical forecasts. Results that the SAM model yielded more accurate predictions than the COTREC model, which is operationally calculated in the Czech hydrometeorological institute, for almost all forecast accuracy statistics considered.
  • This article describes a model SAM for nowcasting precipitation in the Czech Republic. The model is based on an advective-statistical algorithm and utilises radar, satellite, lightning and numerice weather prediction (NWP) model prognostic data. The statistical part of the model is complemented by a distribution correction of forecasted values. The model provides forecasts for mean 1-h, 2-h and 3-h precipitation totals in 9 km by 9 km grid cells. The accuracy of the forecasts is evaluated with independent data by the root-mean-square error, absolute error, bias, and the critical success index (CSI) categorical skill score after transforming the quantitative forecasts into categorical forecasts. Results that the SAM model yielded more accurate predictions than the COTREC model, which is operationally calculated in the Czech hydrometeorological institute, for almost all forecast accuracy statistics considered. (en)
Title
  • Nowcasting of precipitation – Advective statistical forecast model (SAM) for the Czech Republic
  • Nowcasting of precipitation – Advective statistical forecast model (SAM) for the Czech Republic (en)
skos:prefLabel
  • Nowcasting of precipitation – Advective statistical forecast model (SAM) for the Czech Republic
  • Nowcasting of precipitation – Advective statistical forecast model (SAM) for the Czech Republic (en)
skos:notation
  • RIV/68378289:_____/12:00373508!RIV12-AV0-68378289
http://linked.open...avai/predkladatel
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivita
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivity
  • P(GA205/07/0905), P(ME09033), Z(AV0Z30420517)
http://linked.open...iv/cisloPeriodika
  • -
http://linked.open...vai/riv/dodaniDat
http://linked.open...aciTvurceVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/druhVysledku
http://linked.open...iv/duvernostUdaju
http://linked.open...titaPredkladatele
http://linked.open...dnocenehoVysledku
  • 154912
http://linked.open...ai/riv/idVysledku
  • RIV/68378289:_____/12:00373508
http://linked.open...riv/jazykVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/klicovaSlova
  • Precipitation forecast; Statistical models; Regression; Quantitative precipitation forecast; Extrapolation forecast (en)
http://linked.open.../riv/klicoveSlovo
http://linked.open...odStatuVydavatele
  • NL - Nizozemsko
http://linked.open...ontrolniKodProRIV
  • [2251657381E5]
http://linked.open...i/riv/nazevZdroje
  • Atmospheric Research
http://linked.open...in/vavai/riv/obor
http://linked.open...ichTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...cetTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...vavai/riv/projekt
http://linked.open...UplatneniVysledku
http://linked.open...v/svazekPeriodika
  • 103
http://linked.open...iv/tvurceVysledku
  • Pešice, Petr
  • Sokol, Zbyněk
http://linked.open...ain/vavai/riv/wos
  • 000298776600008
http://linked.open...n/vavai/riv/zamer
issn
  • 0169-8095
number of pages
http://bibframe.org/vocab/doi
  • 10.1016/j.atmosres.2011.07.013
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