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Description
  • With the rapid increases in temperature at high latitudes, conditions for crop production could change so dramatically that yields would be reduced, even accounting for the positive effects of CO2 fertilization. We use the WOFOST crop model to examine crop yield responses to a set of plausible climate change scenarios for Finland up to 2100 We use spring barley and calculate water-limited yields for two Finnish locations and two soil types. Scenarios include systematic increases in temperatures, changes in precipitation distribution and altered daily climatic variability using the M&Rfi weather generator. We also examine the effectiveness of a few adaptation options, such as shifts in sowing dates and hypothetical new crop cultivars. It is concluded that the positive effects of warming and elevated CO2 on cereal production at high latitudes are likely to be reversed at temperature increases exceeding 4 ºC. Only plant breeding efforts hold may reduce the risks of yield shortfall.
  • With the rapid increases in temperature at high latitudes, conditions for crop production could change so dramatically that yields would be reduced, even accounting for the positive effects of CO2 fertilization. We use the WOFOST crop model to examine crop yield responses to a set of plausible climate change scenarios for Finland up to 2100 We use spring barley and calculate water-limited yields for two Finnish locations and two soil types. Scenarios include systematic increases in temperatures, changes in precipitation distribution and altered daily climatic variability using the M&Rfi weather generator. We also examine the effectiveness of a few adaptation options, such as shifts in sowing dates and hypothetical new crop cultivars. It is concluded that the positive effects of warming and elevated CO2 on cereal production at high latitudes are likely to be reversed at temperature increases exceeding 4 ºC. Only plant breeding efforts hold may reduce the risks of yield shortfall. (en)
Title
  • What would happen to barley production in Finland if global warming exceeded 4 °C? A model-based assessment
  • What would happen to barley production in Finland if global warming exceeded 4 °C? A model-based assessment (en)
skos:prefLabel
  • What would happen to barley production in Finland if global warming exceeded 4 °C? A model-based assessment
  • What would happen to barley production in Finland if global warming exceeded 4 °C? A model-based assessment (en)
skos:notation
  • RIV/68378289:_____/11:00361675!RIV12-AV0-68378289
http://linked.open...avai/predkladatel
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivita
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivity
  • P(IAA300420806), Z(AV0Z30420517), Z(MSM6215648905)
http://linked.open...iv/cisloPeriodika
  • 4
http://linked.open...vai/riv/dodaniDat
http://linked.open...aciTvurceVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/druhVysledku
http://linked.open...iv/duvernostUdaju
http://linked.open...titaPredkladatele
http://linked.open...dnocenehoVysledku
  • 241717
http://linked.open...ai/riv/idVysledku
  • RIV/68378289:_____/11:00361675
http://linked.open...riv/jazykVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/klicovaSlova
  • Barley; Crop growth simulation; Climatic variability; Sensitivity analysis; Plant breeding; Weather generator (en)
http://linked.open.../riv/klicoveSlovo
http://linked.open...odStatuVydavatele
  • NL - Nizozemsko
http://linked.open...ontrolniKodProRIV
  • [9DD4E8DE648B]
http://linked.open...i/riv/nazevZdroje
  • European Journal of Agronomy
http://linked.open...in/vavai/riv/obor
http://linked.open...ichTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...cetTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...vavai/riv/projekt
http://linked.open...UplatneniVysledku
http://linked.open...v/svazekPeriodika
  • 35
http://linked.open...iv/tvurceVysledku
  • Dubrovský, Martin
  • Trnka, M.
  • Aikasalo, R.
  • Carter, T. R.
  • Fronzek, S.
  • Palosuo, T.
  • Pirttioja, N. K.
  • Ristolainen, A.
  • Rötter, R. P.
  • Salo, T.
http://linked.open...ain/vavai/riv/wos
  • 000294657500002
http://linked.open...n/vavai/riv/zamer
issn
  • 1161-0301
number of pages
http://bibframe.org/vocab/doi
  • 10.1016/j.eja.2011.06.003
is http://linked.open...avai/riv/vysledek of
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