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Description
| - The report consists of four chapters. Chapter 1 assesses the historical performance of forecasts for Rwanda. Historical forecasts since January 2010 are compared with the actual data as well as with projections of other institutions. Chapter 2 presents the structural macroeconomic model, its changes compared to the December 2009 version, and its properties captured by impulse-response functions and by variance decompositions of model’s variables in terms of the model shocks. Important is the part on the model-consistent interpretation of the recent economic Rwanda history. The section describing Bayesian vector autoregressions used for the near-term forecasting concludes. Chapter 3 evaluates how the models perform empirically. On the contrary to Chapter 1, the forecasting power is assessed both in the sample as well as by using an out-of-thesample comparison with the standard random-walk benchmark. We conclude that the FPAS performs satisfactorily in this comparison. The last chapter gives an overview of the considerable country database that has been compiled.
- The report consists of four chapters. Chapter 1 assesses the historical performance of forecasts for Rwanda. Historical forecasts since January 2010 are compared with the actual data as well as with projections of other institutions. Chapter 2 presents the structural macroeconomic model, its changes compared to the December 2009 version, and its properties captured by impulse-response functions and by variance decompositions of model’s variables in terms of the model shocks. Important is the part on the model-consistent interpretation of the recent economic Rwanda history. The section describing Bayesian vector autoregressions used for the near-term forecasting concludes. Chapter 3 evaluates how the models perform empirically. On the contrary to Chapter 1, the forecasting power is assessed both in the sample as well as by using an out-of-thesample comparison with the standard random-walk benchmark. We conclude that the FPAS performs satisfactorily in this comparison. The last chapter gives an overview of the considerable country database that has been compiled. (en)
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Title
| - Modeling Rwanda
- Modeling Rwanda (en)
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skos:prefLabel
| - Modeling Rwanda
- Modeling Rwanda (en)
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skos:notation
| - RIV/67985998:_____/11:00426534!RIV14-MSM-67985998
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http://linked.open...avai/predkladatel
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http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivita
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http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivity
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http://linked.open...vai/riv/dodaniDat
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http://linked.open...aciTvurceVysledku
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http://linked.open.../riv/druhVysledku
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http://linked.open...iv/duvernostUdaju
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http://linked.open...titaPredkladatele
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http://linked.open...dnocenehoVysledku
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http://linked.open...ai/riv/idVysledku
| - RIV/67985998:_____/11:00426534
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http://linked.open...riv/jazykVysledku
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http://linked.open.../riv/klicovaSlova
| - Rwanda; forecasting and policy analysis system (en)
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http://linked.open.../riv/klicoveSlovo
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http://linked.open...ontrolniKodProRIV
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http://linked.open...in/vavai/riv/obor
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http://linked.open...ichTvurcuVysledku
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http://linked.open...cetTvurcuVysledku
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http://linked.open...vavai/riv/projekt
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http://linked.open...UplatneniVysledku
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http://linked.open...iv/tvurceVysledku
| - Kejak, Michal
- Zemčík, Petr
- Vlček, J.
- Auda, O.
- Bečičková, H.
- Cincibuch, M.
- Hřebíček, H.
- Janjgava, Batlome
- Kameník, O.
- Katreniaková, D.
- Lamazoshvili, Beka
- Lukáč, J.
- Machala, J.
- Menkyna, Robert
- Musil, K.
- Rasulova, Khanifakhon
- Remo, A.
- Vávra, D.
- Čižmár, P.
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