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  • The report has three chapters. Chapter 1 summarizes the main features of the Tanzanian economy relevant for building the FPAS. Chapter 2 presents the structural macroeconomic model and its properties captured by the decompositions of variances of the model’s variables in terms of the model shocks and by its impulse-response functions. This chapter also describes Bayesian vector autoregressions used for the near-term forecasting. Chapter 3 evaluates how the models perform empirically. The forecasting power is assessed both in the sample and by using an out-of-the-sample comparison with the standard random-walk benchmark. We conclude that the FPAS performs satisfactorily in this comparison.
  • The report has three chapters. Chapter 1 summarizes the main features of the Tanzanian economy relevant for building the FPAS. Chapter 2 presents the structural macroeconomic model and its properties captured by the decompositions of variances of the model’s variables in terms of the model shocks and by its impulse-response functions. This chapter also describes Bayesian vector autoregressions used for the near-term forecasting. Chapter 3 evaluates how the models perform empirically. The forecasting power is assessed both in the sample and by using an out-of-the-sample comparison with the standard random-walk benchmark. We conclude that the FPAS performs satisfactorily in this comparison. (en)
Title
  • Modeling Tanzania
  • Modeling Tanzania (en)
skos:prefLabel
  • Modeling Tanzania
  • Modeling Tanzania (en)
skos:notation
  • RIV/67985998:_____/11:00426531!RIV14-MSM-67985998
http://linked.open...avai/predkladatel
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivita
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  • I, P(LF11018)
http://linked.open...vai/riv/dodaniDat
http://linked.open...aciTvurceVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/druhVysledku
http://linked.open...iv/duvernostUdaju
http://linked.open...titaPredkladatele
http://linked.open...dnocenehoVysledku
  • 213033
http://linked.open...ai/riv/idVysledku
  • RIV/67985998:_____/11:00426531
http://linked.open...riv/jazykVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/klicovaSlova
  • Tanzania; forecasting and policy analysis system (en)
http://linked.open.../riv/klicoveSlovo
http://linked.open...ontrolniKodProRIV
  • [96BFA7E33DA4]
http://linked.open...in/vavai/riv/obor
http://linked.open...ichTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...cetTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...vavai/riv/projekt
http://linked.open...UplatneniVysledku
http://linked.open...iv/tvurceVysledku
  • Kejak, Michal
  • Zemčík, Petr
  • Vlček, J.
  • Auda, O.
  • Bečičková, H.
  • Cincibuch, M.
  • Hřebíček, H.
  • Janjgava, Batlome
  • Kameník, O.
  • Katreniaková, D.
  • Lamazoshvili, Beka
  • Lukáč, J.
  • Machala, J.
  • Menkyna, Robert
  • Musil, K.
  • Rasulova, Khanifakhon
  • Remo, A.
  • Vávra, D.
  • Čižmár, P.
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