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Description
  • A sequence of goals scored during sport match is modelled as a realization of two dependent random point processes. It is assumed that the scoring intensity of each team has several components depending on time or on factors describing the teams and other conditions of the match. This dependence is modelled with the aid of a semi-parametric multiplicative regression model of intensity. A method of model evaluation is presented and demonstrated on a real data set. Prediction obtained from the model via the Monte Carlo simulation is compared with real results (from football world championship 2006).
  • A sequence of goals scored during sport match is modelled as a realization of two dependent random point processes. It is assumed that the scoring intensity of each team has several components depending on time or on factors describing the teams and other conditions of the match. This dependence is modelled with the aid of a semi-parametric multiplicative regression model of intensity. A method of model evaluation is presented and demonstrated on a real data set. Prediction obtained from the model via the Monte Carlo simulation is compared with real results (from football world championship 2006). (en)
  • Posloupnost branek dosažených během sportovního utkání je modelována jako dva závislé bodové procesy. Pro jejich intenzity, která závisí na dalších faktorech, byl zvolen Coxův regresní model. Je popsána metoda odhadu komponent modelu a také postup využívající náhodné generování k predikci výsledku. Analýza je provedena i na reálných datech (ze světováho mistrovství v kopané 2006). (cs)
Title
  • A random point process model for the score in sport matches
  • A random point process model for the score in sport matches (en)
  • Náhodný bodový proces jako model pro skore sportovních zápasů (cs)
skos:prefLabel
  • A random point process model for the score in sport matches
  • A random point process model for the score in sport matches (en)
  • Náhodný bodový proces jako model pro skore sportovních zápasů (cs)
skos:notation
  • RIV/67985556:_____/09:00323733!RIV09-AV0-67985556
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivita
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivity
  • P(IAA101120604), Z(AV0Z10750506)
http://linked.open...iv/cisloPeriodika
  • 2
http://linked.open...vai/riv/dodaniDat
http://linked.open...aciTvurceVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/druhVysledku
http://linked.open...iv/duvernostUdaju
http://linked.open...titaPredkladatele
http://linked.open...dnocenehoVysledku
  • 301525
http://linked.open...ai/riv/idVysledku
  • RIV/67985556:_____/09:00323733
http://linked.open...riv/jazykVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/klicovaSlova
  • sport statistics; scoring intensity; Cox’s regression model (en)
http://linked.open.../riv/klicoveSlovo
http://linked.open...odStatuVydavatele
  • GB - Spojené království Velké Británie a Severního Irska
http://linked.open...ontrolniKodProRIV
  • [EA47B90C9603]
http://linked.open...i/riv/nazevZdroje
  • IMA Journal of Mathematics Applied in Business and Industry
http://linked.open...in/vavai/riv/obor
http://linked.open...ichTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...cetTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...vavai/riv/projekt
http://linked.open...UplatneniVysledku
http://linked.open...v/svazekPeriodika
  • 20
http://linked.open...iv/tvurceVysledku
  • Volf, Petr
http://linked.open...n/vavai/riv/zamer
issn
  • 1471-678X
number of pages
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