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  • In this study, the performance of nine widely used and accessible crop growth simulation models (APES-ACE, CROPSYST, DAISY, DSSAT-CERES, FASSET, HERMES, MONICA, STICS and WOFOST) was compared during 44 growing seasons of spring barley (Hordeum vulgare L) at seven sites in Northern and Central Europe. The aims of this model comparison were to examine how different process-based crop models perform at multiple sites across Europe when applied with minimal information for model calibration of spring barley at field scale, whether individual models perform better than the multi-model mean, and what the uncertainty ranges are in simulated grain yields. The reasons for differences among the models and how results for barley compare to winter wheat are discussed. Most models systematically underestimated yields, whereby CROPSYST showed the highest deviation as indicated by the mean bias error (MBE) (-1159 kg ha(-1)). While the wide range of simulated yields across all sites and years shows the high uncertainties in model estimates with only restricted calibration, mean predictions from the nine models agreed well with observations. Results of this paper also show that models that were more accurate in predicting phenology were not necessarily the ones better estimating grain yields. In comparison, even though the growing cycle for winter wheat is several months longer than for spring barley, using RMSE and IA as indicators, models performed slightly, but not significantly, better in predicting wheat yields. Errors in reproducing crop phenology were similar, which in conjunction with the shorter growth cycle of barley has higher effects on accuracy in yield prediction.
  • In this study, the performance of nine widely used and accessible crop growth simulation models (APES-ACE, CROPSYST, DAISY, DSSAT-CERES, FASSET, HERMES, MONICA, STICS and WOFOST) was compared during 44 growing seasons of spring barley (Hordeum vulgare L) at seven sites in Northern and Central Europe. The aims of this model comparison were to examine how different process-based crop models perform at multiple sites across Europe when applied with minimal information for model calibration of spring barley at field scale, whether individual models perform better than the multi-model mean, and what the uncertainty ranges are in simulated grain yields. The reasons for differences among the models and how results for barley compare to winter wheat are discussed. Most models systematically underestimated yields, whereby CROPSYST showed the highest deviation as indicated by the mean bias error (MBE) (-1159 kg ha(-1)). While the wide range of simulated yields across all sites and years shows the high uncertainties in model estimates with only restricted calibration, mean predictions from the nine models agreed well with observations. Results of this paper also show that models that were more accurate in predicting phenology were not necessarily the ones better estimating grain yields. In comparison, even though the growing cycle for winter wheat is several months longer than for spring barley, using RMSE and IA as indicators, models performed slightly, but not significantly, better in predicting wheat yields. Errors in reproducing crop phenology were similar, which in conjunction with the shorter growth cycle of barley has higher effects on accuracy in yield prediction. (en)
Title
  • Simulation of spring barley yield in different climatic zones of Northern and Central Europe. A comparison of nine crop models
  • Simulation of spring barley yield in different climatic zones of Northern and Central Europe. A comparison of nine crop models (en)
skos:prefLabel
  • Simulation of spring barley yield in different climatic zones of Northern and Central Europe. A comparison of nine crop models
  • Simulation of spring barley yield in different climatic zones of Northern and Central Europe. A comparison of nine crop models (en)
skos:notation
  • RIV/67179843:_____/12:00384072!RIV13-AV0-67179843
http://linked.open...avai/predkladatel
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivita
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivity
  • P(7E10033), P(ED1.1.00/02.0073), P(QI91C054), Z(AV0Z60870520)
http://linked.open...iv/cisloPeriodika
  • July 2012
http://linked.open...vai/riv/dodaniDat
http://linked.open...aciTvurceVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/druhVysledku
http://linked.open...iv/duvernostUdaju
http://linked.open...titaPredkladatele
http://linked.open...dnocenehoVysledku
  • 168033
http://linked.open...ai/riv/idVysledku
  • RIV/67179843:_____/12:00384072
http://linked.open...riv/jazykVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/klicovaSlova
  • Climate; Crop growth simulation; Model comparison; Spring barley; Yield variability; Uncertainty (en)
http://linked.open.../riv/klicoveSlovo
http://linked.open...odStatuVydavatele
  • NL - Nizozemsko
http://linked.open...ontrolniKodProRIV
  • [265C57B07CBB]
http://linked.open...i/riv/nazevZdroje
  • Field Crops Research
http://linked.open...in/vavai/riv/obor
http://linked.open...ichTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...cetTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...vavai/riv/projekt
http://linked.open...UplatneniVysledku
http://linked.open...v/svazekPeriodika
  • 133
http://linked.open...iv/tvurceVysledku
  • Hlavinka, P.
  • Olesen, J. E.
  • Trnka, Miroslav
  • Palosuo, T.
  • Rötter, R. P.
  • Ewert, F.
  • Takáč, J.
  • Angulo, C.
  • Bindi, M.
  • Ferrise, R.
  • Kersebaum, K. C.
  • Moriondo, M.
  • Nendel, C.
  • Patil, R. H.
  • Ruget, F.
http://linked.open...ain/vavai/riv/wos
  • 000305497300003
http://linked.open...n/vavai/riv/zamer
issn
  • 0378-4290
number of pages
http://bibframe.org/vocab/doi
  • 10.1016/j.fcr.2012.03.016
is http://linked.open...avai/riv/vysledek of
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