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  • Time series modelling and subsequent risk estimation is difficult and important activity of any financial institution. Financial time series are characterized by volatility clustering and heavy-tailed distribution of returns. Both these characteristics have a great influence for risk estimation. Especially when modelling more-dimensional probability distribution, shocks in terms of extreme losses (or returns) in particular risk drivers are usually more correlated than the losses (returns) closer to the mean. In this paper we focus on GARCH-copula models. The copula functions are the tool which allows us to model the dependence among individual risk drivers. On the other hand, GARCH model allows depicting the volatility clustering. Concretely, GARCH model with Student distribution of innovations and various copula functions are assumed in the paper. These joined models are backtested on chosen dataset and VaR exceedances (i.e. their quantity and distribution in time) are statistically tested by Kupiec and Christoffersen tests.
  • Time series modelling and subsequent risk estimation is difficult and important activity of any financial institution. Financial time series are characterized by volatility clustering and heavy-tailed distribution of returns. Both these characteristics have a great influence for risk estimation. Especially when modelling more-dimensional probability distribution, shocks in terms of extreme losses (or returns) in particular risk drivers are usually more correlated than the losses (returns) closer to the mean. In this paper we focus on GARCH-copula models. The copula functions are the tool which allows us to model the dependence among individual risk drivers. On the other hand, GARCH model allows depicting the volatility clustering. Concretely, GARCH model with Student distribution of innovations and various copula functions are assumed in the paper. These joined models are backtested on chosen dataset and VaR exceedances (i.e. their quantity and distribution in time) are statistically tested by Kupiec and Christoffersen tests. (en)
Title
  • Currency Risk Modelling by GARCH-Copula Model
  • Currency Risk Modelling by GARCH-Copula Model (en)
skos:prefLabel
  • Currency Risk Modelling by GARCH-Copula Model
  • Currency Risk Modelling by GARCH-Copula Model (en)
skos:notation
  • RIV/61989100:27510/14:86091087!RIV15-MSM-27510___
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivita
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivity
  • P(EE2.3.30.0016), P(GP13-18300P)
http://linked.open...vai/riv/dodaniDat
http://linked.open...aciTvurceVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/druhVysledku
http://linked.open...iv/duvernostUdaju
http://linked.open...titaPredkladatele
http://linked.open...dnocenehoVysledku
  • 9410
http://linked.open...ai/riv/idVysledku
  • RIV/61989100:27510/14:86091087
http://linked.open...riv/jazykVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/klicovaSlova
  • backtesting; GARCH model; copula function; currency risk (en)
http://linked.open.../riv/klicoveSlovo
http://linked.open...ontrolniKodProRIV
  • [A66825ED1224]
http://linked.open...v/mistoKonaniAkce
  • Ostrava
http://linked.open...i/riv/mistoVydani
  • Karviná
http://linked.open...i/riv/nazevZdroje
  • Proceedings of the 14th International Conference on Finance and Banking : 16-17 October 2013, Ostrava, Czech Republic
http://linked.open...in/vavai/riv/obor
http://linked.open...ichTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...cetTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...vavai/riv/projekt
http://linked.open...UplatneniVysledku
http://linked.open...iv/tvurceVysledku
  • Kresta, Aleš
http://linked.open...vavai/riv/typAkce
http://linked.open...ain/vavai/riv/wos
  • 000345575000023
http://linked.open.../riv/zahajeniAkce
number of pages
http://purl.org/ne...btex#hasPublisher
  • Silesian University, School of Business Administration
https://schema.org/isbn
  • 978-80-7248-939-8
http://localhost/t...ganizacniJednotka
  • 27510
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