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  • The paper is focused on the modelling electricity price. Because of the features occurring in the time series of electricity prices (i.e. high frequency, non-constant mean, autocorrelation, non-normal distribution, heteroscedasticity, seasonality, etc.), it is necessary to employ more sophisticated models for the purposes of their modelling. Therefore we concentrate on the regime-switching mean-reversion models using different transition function for switching the particular regime. We propose and compare linear and non-linear mean-reversion models for daily electricity prices at Austria Energy Exchange. The paper is organized as follows: first, general features of electricity prices and price formation at electricity deregulated markets are described. Next, linear and non-linear mean-reversion models are described including the model estimation via OLS and NLS method; finally, the empirical linear and non-linear models are proposed and compared in the sense of data fitting.
  • The paper is focused on the modelling electricity price. Because of the features occurring in the time series of electricity prices (i.e. high frequency, non-constant mean, autocorrelation, non-normal distribution, heteroscedasticity, seasonality, etc.), it is necessary to employ more sophisticated models for the purposes of their modelling. Therefore we concentrate on the regime-switching mean-reversion models using different transition function for switching the particular regime. We propose and compare linear and non-linear mean-reversion models for daily electricity prices at Austria Energy Exchange. The paper is organized as follows: first, general features of electricity prices and price formation at electricity deregulated markets are described. Next, linear and non-linear mean-reversion models are described including the model estimation via OLS and NLS method; finally, the empirical linear and non-linear models are proposed and compared in the sense of data fitting. (en)
Title
  • Modelling daily electricity prices at Austria Energy Exchange: linear vs. non-linear (regime-switching) M-R models
  • Modelling daily electricity prices at Austria Energy Exchange: linear vs. non-linear (regime-switching) M-R models (en)
skos:prefLabel
  • Modelling daily electricity prices at Austria Energy Exchange: linear vs. non-linear (regime-switching) M-R models
  • Modelling daily electricity prices at Austria Energy Exchange: linear vs. non-linear (regime-switching) M-R models (en)
skos:notation
  • RIV/61989100:27510/10:10225386!RIV11-MSM-27510___
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivita
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivity
  • S
http://linked.open...vai/riv/dodaniDat
http://linked.open...aciTvurceVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/druhVysledku
http://linked.open...iv/duvernostUdaju
http://linked.open...titaPredkladatele
http://linked.open...dnocenehoVysledku
  • 271926
http://linked.open...ai/riv/idVysledku
  • RIV/61989100:27510/10:10225386
http://linked.open...riv/jazykVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/klicovaSlova
  • non-linear least squares method; regime-switching; mean-reversion process; electricity price; Electricity (en)
http://linked.open.../riv/klicoveSlovo
http://linked.open...ontrolniKodProRIV
  • [BA3D19AFAABE]
http://linked.open...v/mistoKonaniAkce
  • České Budějovice
http://linked.open...i/riv/mistoVydani
  • České Budějovice
http://linked.open...i/riv/nazevZdroje
  • Mathematical Methods in Economics 2010
http://linked.open...in/vavai/riv/obor
http://linked.open...ichTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...cetTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...UplatneniVysledku
http://linked.open...iv/tvurceVysledku
  • Valecký, Jiří
  • Čulík, Miroslav
http://linked.open...vavai/riv/typAkce
http://linked.open...ain/vavai/riv/wos
  • 000287979900018
http://linked.open.../riv/zahajeniAkce
number of pages
http://purl.org/ne...btex#hasPublisher
  • University of South Bohemia
https://schema.org/isbn
  • 978-80-7394-218-2
http://localhost/t...ganizacniJednotka
  • 27510
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