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  • In this paper we discuss the estimation and methodology of the real equilibrium exchange rate partial equilibrium models and analyze to what extent the resulting estimates are applicable for setting the central parity prior to ERM II entry in the new EU member states. Given the uncertainty surrounding the estimates, we argue that they are informative in the sign rather than the size of the misalignment of the exchange rate, but may still serve as useful consistency checks for the decision on the setting of the central parity. We argue that policy makers should consider the estimates in their decision-making only if the real exchange rate is substantially misaligned.
  • In this paper we discuss the estimation and methodology of the real equilibrium exchange rate partial equilibrium models and analyze to what extent the resulting estimates are applicable for setting the central parity prior to ERM II entry in the new EU member states. Given the uncertainty surrounding the estimates, we argue that they are informative in the sign rather than the size of the misalignment of the exchange rate, but may still serve as useful consistency checks for the decision on the setting of the central parity. We argue that policy makers should consider the estimates in their decision-making only if the real exchange rate is substantially misaligned. (en)
  • V tomto článku diskutujeme odhady a metodologii reálného rovnovážného měnového kurzu dle parciálních rovnovážných modelů a analyzujeme do jaké míry výsledky odhadů jsou aplikovatelné pro stanovení centrální parity nových členských zemí před jejich vstupem do ERM II. Vlivem nejistot spojených s danými nejistotami argumentujeme, že jsou informativní ve směru výsledného znaménka než-li velikosti nesladěnosti, ale mohou stále podávat užitečnou a konzistentní kontrolu rozhodnutí o nastavení centrální parity. Argumentujeme, že tvůrci měnové politiky by měly považovat tyto odhady v jejich rozhodovacím procesu pouze pokud reálný měnový kurz je podstatně nesladěný. (cs)
Title
  • Equilibrium Exchange Rates in the EU New Members: Methodology, Estimation and Applicability to ERM II
  • Equilibrium Exchange Rates in the EU New Members: Methodology, Estimation and Applicability to ERM II (en)
  • Rovnovážné měnové kurzy nových členských zemí EU: Metodologie, odhady a aplikovatelnost na ERM II (cs)
skos:prefLabel
  • Equilibrium Exchange Rates in the EU New Members: Methodology, Estimation and Applicability to ERM II
  • Equilibrium Exchange Rates in the EU New Members: Methodology, Estimation and Applicability to ERM II (en)
  • Rovnovážné měnové kurzy nových členských zemí EU: Metodologie, odhady a aplikovatelnost na ERM II (cs)
skos:notation
  • RIV/61989100:27510/07:00014875!RIV08-GA0-27510___
http://linked.open.../vavai/riv/strany
  • 24-37
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivita
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivity
  • P(GA402/05/2758)
http://linked.open...iv/cisloPeriodika
  • 1
http://linked.open...vai/riv/dodaniDat
http://linked.open...aciTvurceVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/druhVysledku
http://linked.open...iv/duvernostUdaju
http://linked.open...titaPredkladatele
http://linked.open...dnocenehoVysledku
  • 420368
http://linked.open...ai/riv/idVysledku
  • RIV/61989100:27510/07:00014875
http://linked.open...riv/jazykVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/klicovaSlova
  • Equilibrium Exchange Rate; ERM II; New EU Member States (en)
http://linked.open.../riv/klicoveSlovo
http://linked.open...odStatuVydavatele
  • CZ - Česká republika
http://linked.open...ontrolniKodProRIV
  • [0AE86CF19A09]
http://linked.open...i/riv/nazevZdroje
  • Prague Economic Papers
http://linked.open...in/vavai/riv/obor
http://linked.open...ichTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...cetTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...vavai/riv/projekt
http://linked.open...UplatneniVysledku
http://linked.open...v/svazekPeriodika
  • XVI
http://linked.open...iv/tvurceVysledku
  • Komárek, Luboš
  • Horváth, Roman
issn
  • 1210-0455
number of pages
http://localhost/t...ganizacniJednotka
  • 27510
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