About: On the Potential of Fuzzy Rule-Based Ensemble Forecasting

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An Entity of Type : http://linked.opendata.cz/ontology/domain/vavai/Vysledek, within Data Space : linked.opendata.cz associated with source document(s)

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rdf:type	skos:Concept http://linked.opendata.cz/ontology/domain/vavai/Vysledek
Description	There is no individual forecasting method that is generally for any given time series better than any other method. There always exists a danger that for a given time series the method is inappropriate. To overcome such a problem, distinct ensemble techniques that combine more forecasting methods are designed. These techniques construct a forecast as a (linear) combination of forecasts by individual methods. This contribution provides a novel ensemble technique that determines the weights based on time series features. The knowledge how to determine weights comes from the regression analysis. In order to capture the desirable issues of robustness and mainly of interpretability, the knowledge how to combine individual methods is encoded in a linguistic description. The mechanism of determination of particular weights is PbLD -- a unique fuzzy inference technique . An experimental justification is provided in order to confirm the promising potential of the given direction of research. There is no individual forecasting method that is generally for any given time series better than any other method. There always exists a danger that for a given time series the method is inappropriate. To overcome such a problem, distinct ensemble techniques that combine more forecasting methods are designed. These techniques construct a forecast as a (linear) combination of forecasts by individual methods. This contribution provides a novel ensemble technique that determines the weights based on time series features. The knowledge how to determine weights comes from the regression analysis. In order to capture the desirable issues of robustness and mainly of interpretability, the knowledge how to combine individual methods is encoded in a linguistic description. The mechanism of determination of particular weights is PbLD -- a unique fuzzy inference technique . An experimental justification is provided in order to confirm the promising potential of the given direction of research. (en)
Title	On the Potential of Fuzzy Rule-Based Ensemble Forecasting On the Potential of Fuzzy Rule-Based Ensemble Forecasting (en)
skos:prefLabel	On the Potential of Fuzzy Rule-Based Ensemble Forecasting On the Potential of Fuzzy Rule-Based Ensemble Forecasting (en)
skos:notation	RIV/61988987:17610/13:A130150A!RIV13-MSM-17610___
http://linked.open...avai/predkladatel	Centrum excelence IT4Innovations, divize OU, Ústav pro výzkum a aplikace fuzzy modelování
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivita	P S
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivity	P(ED1.1.00/02.0070), P(LH12229), S
http://linked.open...vai/riv/dodaniDat	2013
http://linked.open...aciTvurceVysledku	SIKORA, David Vavříčková, Lenka Štěpnička, Martin
http://linked.open.../riv/druhVysledku	D - Článek ve sborníku
http://linked.open...iv/duvernostUdaju	S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje nepodléhající ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
http://linked.open...titaPredkladatele	Ostravská univerzita v Ostravě / Centrum excelence IT4Innovations, divize OU, Ústav pro výzkum a aplikace fuzzy modelování
http://linked.open...dnocenehoVysledku	93933
http://linked.open...ai/riv/idVysledku	RIV/61988987:17610/13:A130150A
http://linked.open...riv/jazykVysledku	eng - angličtina
http://linked.open.../riv/klicovaSlova	Time series; ensembles; fuzzy rules (en)
http://linked.open.../riv/klicoveSlovo	fuzzy rules ensembles Time series
http://linked.open...ontrolniKodProRIV	[A72955FF422E]
http://linked.open...v/mistoKonaniAkce	Ostrava
http://linked.open...i/riv/mistoVydani	Berlín
http://linked.open...i/riv/nazevZdroje	Proc. of 7th International Conference on Soft Computing Models in Industrial and Environmental Applications
http://linked.open...in/vavai/riv/obor	BA
http://linked.open...ichTvurcuVysledku	3 (xsd:int)
http://linked.open...cetTvurcuVysledku	3 (xsd:int)
http://linked.open...vavai/riv/projekt	Research and development of methods and tools for intelligent analysis of time series for tasks of strategic planning IT4Innovations Centre of Excellence
http://linked.open...UplatneniVysledku	2013
http://linked.open...iv/tvurceVysledku	Vavříčková, Lenka Štěpnička, Martin Sikora, David
http://linked.open...vavai/riv/typAkce	WRD - Světová
http://linked.open...ain/vavai/riv/wos	000312969500050
http://linked.open.../riv/zahajeniAkce	2012-09-05 (xsd:date)
issn	2194-5357
number of pages	10 (xsd:int)
http://purl.org/ne...btex#hasPublisher	Springer-Verlag New York
https://schema.org/isbn	978-3-642-33017-9
http://localhost/t...ganizacniJednotka	17610

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