About: Forecasting seasonal time series with computational intelligence: on recent methods and the potential of their combinations

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About: Forecasting seasonal time series with computational intelligence: on recent methods and the potential of their combinations Goto Sponge NotDistinct Permalink

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rdf:type	skos:Concept http://linked.opendata.cz/ontology/domain/vavai/Vysledek
Description	Accurate time series forecasting is a key issue to support individual and organizational decision making. In this paper, we introduce novel methods for multi-step seasonal time series forecasting. All the presented methods stem from computational intelligence techniques: evolutionary artificial neural networks, support vector machines and genuine linguistic fuzzy rules. Performance of the suggested methods is experimentally justified on seasonal time series from distinct domains on three forecasting horizons. The most important contribution is is the introduction of a new hybrid combination using linguistic fuzzy rules and the other computational intelligence methods. This hybrid combination presents competitive forecasts, when compared with the popular ARIMA method. Moreover, such hybrid model is more easy to interpret by decision-makers when modeling trended series. Accurate time series forecasting is a key issue to support individual and organizational decision making. In this paper, we introduce novel methods for multi-step seasonal time series forecasting. All the presented methods stem from computational intelligence techniques: evolutionary artificial neural networks, support vector machines and genuine linguistic fuzzy rules. Performance of the suggested methods is experimentally justified on seasonal time series from distinct domains on three forecasting horizons. The most important contribution is is the introduction of a new hybrid combination using linguistic fuzzy rules and the other computational intelligence methods. This hybrid combination presents competitive forecasts, when compared with the popular ARIMA method. Moreover, such hybrid model is more easy to interpret by decision-makers when modeling trended series. (en)
Title	Forecasting seasonal time series with computational intelligence: on recent methods and the potential of their combinations Forecasting seasonal time series with computational intelligence: on recent methods and the potential of their combinations (en)
skos:prefLabel	Forecasting seasonal time series with computational intelligence: on recent methods and the potential of their combinations Forecasting seasonal time series with computational intelligence: on recent methods and the potential of their combinations (en)
skos:notation	RIV/61988987:17610/13:A13012G0!RIV13-MSM-17610___
http://linked.open...avai/predkladatel	Centrum excelence IT4Innovations, divize OU, Ústav pro výzkum a aplikace fuzzy modelování
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivita	P S
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivity	P(ED1.1.00/02.0070), P(LH12229), S
http://linked.open...iv/cisloPeriodika	6
http://linked.open...vai/riv/dodaniDat	2013
http://linked.open...aciTvurceVysledku	Vavříčková, Lenka Štěpnička, Martin
http://linked.open.../riv/druhVysledku	J - Článek v odborném periodiku
http://linked.open...iv/duvernostUdaju	S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje nepodléhající ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
http://linked.open...titaPredkladatele	Ostravská univerzita v Ostravě / Centrum excelence IT4Innovations, divize OU, Ústav pro výzkum a aplikace fuzzy modelování
http://linked.open...dnocenehoVysledku	75431
http://linked.open...ai/riv/idVysledku	RIV/61988987:17610/13:A13012G0
http://linked.open...riv/jazykVysledku	eng - angličtina
http://linked.open.../riv/klicovaSlova	Time series; Computational intelligence; Neural networks; Support vector machine; Fuzzy rules \sep Genetic algorithm (en)
http://linked.open.../riv/klicoveSlovo	Computational intelligence Support vector machine Time series Fuzzy rules \sep Genetic algorithm Neural networks
http://linked.open...odStatuVydavatele	NL - Nizozemsko
http://linked.open...ontrolniKodProRIV	[2015CB6E3560]
http://linked.open...i/riv/nazevZdroje	EXPERT SYST APPL
http://linked.open...in/vavai/riv/obor	BA
http://linked.open...ichTvurcuVysledku	2 (xsd:int)
http://linked.open...cetTvurcuVysledku	4 (xsd:int)
http://linked.open...vavai/riv/projekt	Research and development of methods and tools for intelligent analysis of time series for tasks of strategic planning IT4Innovations Centre of Excellence
http://linked.open...UplatneniVysledku	2013
http://linked.open...v/svazekPeriodika	40
http://linked.open...iv/tvurceVysledku	Štěpnička, Martin Cortez, Paulo Peralta Donate, Juan Štěpničková, Lenka
issn	0957-4174
number of pages	12 (xsd:int)
http://localhost/t...ganizacniJednotka	17610

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