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  • The PERT method is widely used as a tool for the estimation of activity duration in project management. At real projects the three-point PERT estimate is often adapted to suit specific requirements and project needs. The peak of the beta distribution is possible to shift to the left or right and get a different mean estimate of the activity duration. The shift of the distribution peak depends on the human behaviour while working on the task. The paper proposes the modification of the three-point PERT estimate using parameterization of the weighted average. It proposes to shift the beta distribution peak, which is dependent on a human work effort and which is reachable by adjusting the PERT three-point estimate. Such a modification shifts the beta distribution peak where the work effort of an allocated source occurs. We demonstrate how to use a suitable parameterization of the three-point PERT estimate to reduce the risk of violating important project terms and due dates.
  • The PERT method is widely used as a tool for the estimation of activity duration in project management. At real projects the three-point PERT estimate is often adapted to suit specific requirements and project needs. The peak of the beta distribution is possible to shift to the left or right and get a different mean estimate of the activity duration. The shift of the distribution peak depends on the human behaviour while working on the task. The paper proposes the modification of the three-point PERT estimate using parameterization of the weighted average. It proposes to shift the beta distribution peak, which is dependent on a human work effort and which is reachable by adjusting the PERT three-point estimate. Such a modification shifts the beta distribution peak where the work effort of an allocated source occurs. We demonstrate how to use a suitable parameterization of the three-point PERT estimate to reduce the risk of violating important project terms and due dates. (en)
Title
  • Modification of the Three-point PERT Estimate for Practical Use
  • Modification of the Three-point PERT Estimate for Practical Use (en)
skos:prefLabel
  • Modification of the Three-point PERT Estimate for Practical Use
  • Modification of the Three-point PERT Estimate for Practical Use (en)
skos:notation
  • RIV/60460709:41110/11:51073!RIV14-MSM-41110___
http://linked.open...avai/predkladatel
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivita
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivity
  • Z(MSM6046070904)
http://linked.open...vai/riv/dodaniDat
http://linked.open...aciTvurceVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/druhVysledku
http://linked.open...iv/duvernostUdaju
http://linked.open...titaPredkladatele
http://linked.open...dnocenehoVysledku
  • 213331
http://linked.open...ai/riv/idVysledku
  • RIV/60460709:41110/11:51073
http://linked.open...riv/jazykVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/klicovaSlova
  • PERT, Project management, Beta distribution, Work effort, Three-point PERT estimate, Activity duration, Risk of violating terms. (en)
http://linked.open.../riv/klicoveSlovo
http://linked.open...ontrolniKodProRIV
  • [0520E8ECDD26]
http://linked.open...v/mistoKonaniAkce
  • Janská Dolina, Slovakia
http://linked.open...i/riv/mistoVydani
  • University of Economics, Prague
http://linked.open...i/riv/nazevZdroje
  • 29th International Conference on Mathematical Methods in Economics 2011
http://linked.open...in/vavai/riv/obor
http://linked.open...ichTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...cetTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...UplatneniVysledku
http://linked.open...iv/tvurceVysledku
  • Bartoška, Jan
  • Šubrt, Tomáš
http://linked.open...vavai/riv/typAkce
http://linked.open...ain/vavai/riv/wos
  • 0
http://linked.open.../riv/zahajeniAkce
http://linked.open...n/vavai/riv/zamer
number of pages
http://purl.org/ne...btex#hasPublisher
  • University of Economics, Prague (Professional Publishing, Mikulova 1572/13, 149 00 Praha 4, Czech Republic)
https://schema.org/isbn
  • 978-80-7431-058-4
http://localhost/t...ganizacniJednotka
  • 41110
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