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  • The paper focuses on study of dependences between terrorist attacks (intensity of a terrorist threat) and development of selected political, economic and military parameters relevant to setting adequate counterterrorist policy. Problem of evaluation of terrorist behavior ranks among topical economic and econometric issues. For instance, Gaibulloev, Sandler (2008) examine the impact of terrorism on economic growth by long time series analyses. Enders, Sandler (1996) also estimate the negative and significant impact of terrorism on foreign direct investment in the case of Spain and Greece. Blomberg, Hess and Weerapane (2004) utilized a model demonstrating that the probability of terrorist attacks has proven to be higher in better democratically developed countries and countries with higher revenues. Chen, Siems (2004) estimates relation between terrorist attacks and returns of financial markets. The cost and impact of terrorism on tourism industry are discussed in Enders, Sander (1991). These authors constructed a time series model and found out that terrorism decreased the number of visitors in Spain. To quantify the general economic, political and military variables the authors use data selected from the Political Risk Services Group. The influence of six economic and political explanatory variables Government Stability, Socioeconomic Conditions, Internal Conflict, External Conflict, Corruption and Democratic Accountability on response variable. Risk of Terrorism will be described by generalized linear model. The classification of states according to the relationship among response variable and covariates will be given using cluster analysis and regression trees.
  • The paper focuses on study of dependences between terrorist attacks (intensity of a terrorist threat) and development of selected political, economic and military parameters relevant to setting adequate counterterrorist policy. Problem of evaluation of terrorist behavior ranks among topical economic and econometric issues. For instance, Gaibulloev, Sandler (2008) examine the impact of terrorism on economic growth by long time series analyses. Enders, Sandler (1996) also estimate the negative and significant impact of terrorism on foreign direct investment in the case of Spain and Greece. Blomberg, Hess and Weerapane (2004) utilized a model demonstrating that the probability of terrorist attacks has proven to be higher in better democratically developed countries and countries with higher revenues. Chen, Siems (2004) estimates relation between terrorist attacks and returns of financial markets. The cost and impact of terrorism on tourism industry are discussed in Enders, Sander (1991). These authors constructed a time series model and found out that terrorism decreased the number of visitors in Spain. To quantify the general economic, political and military variables the authors use data selected from the Political Risk Services Group. The influence of six economic and political explanatory variables Government Stability, Socioeconomic Conditions, Internal Conflict, External Conflict, Corruption and Democratic Accountability on response variable. Risk of Terrorism will be described by generalized linear model. The classification of states according to the relationship among response variable and covariates will be given using cluster analysis and regression trees. (en)
Title
  • Examination of dependences between terrorist threat and political and economic developments by multivariate statistical analysis
  • Examination of dependences between terrorist threat and political and economic developments by multivariate statistical analysis (en)
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  • Examination of dependences between terrorist threat and political and economic developments by multivariate statistical analysis
  • Examination of dependences between terrorist threat and political and economic developments by multivariate statistical analysis (en)
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  • RIV/60162694:G42__/12:00502712!RIV14-MO0-G42_____
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  • 135394
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  • RIV/60162694:G42__/12:00502712
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  • Risk of terrorism; Political Risk Services Group; Generalized linear model; Cluster analysis; Regression trees (en)
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  • [C72C3BC14D78]
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  • Michálek, Jaroslav
  • Odehnal, Jakub
  • Sedlačík, Marek
http://localhost/t...ganizacniJednotka
  • G42
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