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  • The aim of the paper is to investigate the impact of exchange rate changes on bilateral export and import flows between Poland and its major trading partners. This paper explores a J-curve phenomenon using quarterly data over the period 1997 - 2011. We employ a Johansen cointegration test to analyze the long run relationship between exchange rate and trade balance. Short term effects and the related J-curve effect are explored by estimating an error correction model and by assessing impulse-response functions. We include bilateral export and import flows, GDP and nominal bilateral exchange rates into models. The results suggest that a depreciation of the Polish złoty is accompanied by deterioration of the Poland's trade balance with France and Italy. Partial J-curve effect can be observed in case of Poland's trading flows with Germany and Czech Republic. By contrast, we reveal an inverse J-curve in international trade with the United Kingdom.
  • The aim of the paper is to investigate the impact of exchange rate changes on bilateral export and import flows between Poland and its major trading partners. This paper explores a J-curve phenomenon using quarterly data over the period 1997 - 2011. We employ a Johansen cointegration test to analyze the long run relationship between exchange rate and trade balance. Short term effects and the related J-curve effect are explored by estimating an error correction model and by assessing impulse-response functions. We include bilateral export and import flows, GDP and nominal bilateral exchange rates into models. The results suggest that a depreciation of the Polish złoty is accompanied by deterioration of the Poland's trade balance with France and Italy. Partial J-curve effect can be observed in case of Poland's trading flows with Germany and Czech Republic. By contrast, we reveal an inverse J-curve in international trade with the United Kingdom. (en)
Title
  • Estimation of the J-Curve Effect in Bilateral Trade of Poland
  • Estimation of the J-Curve Effect in Bilateral Trade of Poland (en)
skos:prefLabel
  • Estimation of the J-Curve Effect in Bilateral Trade of Poland
  • Estimation of the J-Curve Effect in Bilateral Trade of Poland (en)
skos:notation
  • RIV/47813059:19520/13:#0002293!RIV14-MSM-19520___
http://linked.open...avai/predkladatel
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivita
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivity
  • S
http://linked.open...iv/cisloPeriodika
  • 73
http://linked.open...vai/riv/dodaniDat
http://linked.open...aciTvurceVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/druhVysledku
http://linked.open...iv/duvernostUdaju
http://linked.open...titaPredkladatele
http://linked.open...dnocenehoVysledku
  • 73292
http://linked.open...ai/riv/idVysledku
  • RIV/47813059:19520/13:#0002293
http://linked.open...riv/jazykVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/klicovaSlova
  • trade balance; international trade; J-curve; exchange rate; impulse-response (en)
http://linked.open.../riv/klicoveSlovo
http://linked.open...odStatuVydavatele
  • PL - Polská republika
http://linked.open...ontrolniKodProRIV
  • [D20E42F1D467]
http://linked.open...i/riv/nazevZdroje
  • Folia Pomeranae Universitatis Technologiae Stetinensis: Oeconomica
http://linked.open...in/vavai/riv/obor
http://linked.open...ichTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...cetTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...UplatneniVysledku
http://linked.open...v/svazekPeriodika
  • 305
http://linked.open...iv/tvurceVysledku
  • STAVÁREK, Daniel
  • ŠIMÁKOVÁ, Jana
issn
  • 2081-0644
number of pages
http://localhost/t...ganizacniJednotka
  • 19520
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