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  • In this paper, we examine whether pre-crisis leading indicators help explain pressures on the exchange rate (and its volatility) during the global financial crisis. We use a unique data set that covers 149 countries and 58 indicators, and estimation techniques that are robust to model uncertainty. Our results are threefold: First and foremost, we find that price stability plays a pivotal role as a determinant of exchange rate pressures. More specifically, the currencies of countries that experienced higher inflation prior to the crisis tend to be more affected in times of stress. Second, we investigate potential effects that vary with the level of pre-crisis inflation. In this vein, our results reveal that an increase in domestic savings reduces the severity of pressures in countries that experienced a low-inflation environment prior to the crisis. Finally, we find evidence of the mitigating effects of international reserves on the volatility of exchange rate pressures
  • In this paper, we examine whether pre-crisis leading indicators help explain pressures on the exchange rate (and its volatility) during the global financial crisis. We use a unique data set that covers 149 countries and 58 indicators, and estimation techniques that are robust to model uncertainty. Our results are threefold: First and foremost, we find that price stability plays a pivotal role as a determinant of exchange rate pressures. More specifically, the currencies of countries that experienced higher inflation prior to the crisis tend to be more affected in times of stress. Second, we investigate potential effects that vary with the level of pre-crisis inflation. In this vein, our results reveal that an increase in domestic savings reduces the severity of pressures in countries that experienced a low-inflation environment prior to the crisis. Finally, we find evidence of the mitigating effects of international reserves on the volatility of exchange rate pressures (en)
Title
  • Exchange Market Pressures during the Financial Crisis : A Bayesian Model Averaging Evidence
  • Exchange Market Pressures during the Financial Crisis : A Bayesian Model Averaging Evidence (en)
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  • Exchange Market Pressures during the Financial Crisis : A Bayesian Model Averaging Evidence
  • Exchange Market Pressures during the Financial Crisis : A Bayesian Model Averaging Evidence (en)
skos:notation
  • RIV/00216208:11230/14:10281710!RIV15-MSM-11230___
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivita
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivity
  • I, S
http://linked.open...iv/cisloPeriodika
  • February
http://linked.open...vai/riv/dodaniDat
http://linked.open...aciTvurceVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/druhVysledku
http://linked.open...iv/duvernostUdaju
http://linked.open...titaPredkladatele
http://linked.open...dnocenehoVysledku
  • 15674
http://linked.open...ai/riv/idVysledku
  • RIV/00216208:11230/14:10281710
http://linked.open...riv/jazykVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/klicovaSlova
  • Financial crisis; Exchange market pressures (en)
http://linked.open.../riv/klicoveSlovo
http://linked.open...odStatuVydavatele
  • GB - Spojené království Velké Británie a Severního Irska
http://linked.open...ontrolniKodProRIV
  • [BE01CA93F963]
http://linked.open...i/riv/nazevZdroje
  • Journal of International Money and Finance
http://linked.open...in/vavai/riv/obor
http://linked.open...ichTvurcuVysledku
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http://linked.open...UplatneniVysledku
http://linked.open...v/svazekPeriodika
  • 40
http://linked.open...iv/tvurceVysledku
  • Horváth, Roman
  • Rusnák, Marek
  • Feldkircher, Martin
http://linked.open...ain/vavai/riv/wos
  • 000327806900002
issn
  • 0261-5606
number of pages
http://bibframe.org/vocab/doi
  • 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2013.08.021
http://localhost/t...ganizacniJednotka
  • 11230
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