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  • Abstract-The main aim of this paper is to develop and calibrate an econometric model for modeling prices of long term electricity futures contracts. The calibration of our model is performed on data from EEX AG allowing us to capture the specific features of German electricity market. The data sample contains several structural breaks which have to be taken into account for modeling. We model the data with an ARIMAX model which reveals high correlation between the price of electricity futures contracts and prices of LT futures contracts of fuels (namely coal, natural gas and crude oil). Besides this, also a share price index of representative electricity companies traded on Xetra, spread between 10Y and 1Y German bonds and exchange rate between EUR and USD appeared to have significant explanatory power over these futures contracts on EEX.
  • Abstract-The main aim of this paper is to develop and calibrate an econometric model for modeling prices of long term electricity futures contracts. The calibration of our model is performed on data from EEX AG allowing us to capture the specific features of German electricity market. The data sample contains several structural breaks which have to be taken into account for modeling. We model the data with an ARIMAX model which reveals high correlation between the price of electricity futures contracts and prices of LT futures contracts of fuels (namely coal, natural gas and crude oil). Besides this, also a share price index of representative electricity companies traded on Xetra, spread between 10Y and 1Y German bonds and exchange rate between EUR and USD appeared to have significant explanatory power over these futures contracts on EEX. (en)
Title
  • Modeling prices of electricity futures at EEX
  • Modeling prices of electricity futures at EEX (en)
skos:prefLabel
  • Modeling prices of electricity futures at EEX
  • Modeling prices of electricity futures at EEX (en)
skos:notation
  • RIV/00216208:11230/11:10098799!RIV12-GA0-11230___
http://linked.open...avai/predkladatel
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivita
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivity
  • P(GAP403/10/1235), S, Z(MSM0021620841)
http://linked.open...iv/cisloPeriodika
  • June 2011
http://linked.open...vai/riv/dodaniDat
http://linked.open...aciTvurceVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/druhVysledku
http://linked.open...iv/duvernostUdaju
http://linked.open...titaPredkladatele
http://linked.open...dnocenehoVysledku
  • 213026
http://linked.open...ai/riv/idVysledku
  • RIV/00216208:11230/11:10098799
http://linked.open...riv/jazykVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/klicovaSlova
  • allowances; emission; ARIMAX; EEX; Electricity futures (en)
http://linked.open.../riv/klicoveSlovo
http://linked.open...odStatuVydavatele
  • FR - Francouzská republika
http://linked.open...ontrolniKodProRIV
  • [13466B277D83]
http://linked.open...i/riv/nazevZdroje
  • Proceedings of World Academy of Science, Engineering and Technology
http://linked.open...in/vavai/riv/obor
http://linked.open...ichTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...cetTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...vavai/riv/projekt
http://linked.open...UplatneniVysledku
http://linked.open...v/svazekPeriodika
  • 78
http://linked.open...iv/tvurceVysledku
  • Flasza, Robert
  • Rippel, Milan
  • Šolc, Jan
http://linked.open...n/vavai/riv/zamer
issn
  • 2070-3740
number of pages
http://localhost/t...ganizacniJednotka
  • 11230
is http://linked.open...avai/riv/vysledek of
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