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Description
  • As a consequence of current and projected climate change in temperate regions of Europe, agricultural pests and diseases are expected to occur more frequently and possibly to extend to previously non-affected regions. Given their economic and ecological relevance, detailed forecasting tools for various pests and diseases have been developed, which model their phenology, depending on actual weather conditions, and suggest management decisions on that basis. Assessing the future risk of pest-related damages requires future weather data at high temporal and spatial resolution. Here, we use a combined stochastic weather generator and re-sampling procedure for producing site-specific hourly weather series representing present and future (1980–2009 and 2045–2074 time periods) climate conditions in Switzerland. The climate change scenarios originate from the ENSEMBLES multi-model projections and provide probabilistic information on future regional changes in temperature and precipitation.
  • As a consequence of current and projected climate change in temperate regions of Europe, agricultural pests and diseases are expected to occur more frequently and possibly to extend to previously non-affected regions. Given their economic and ecological relevance, detailed forecasting tools for various pests and diseases have been developed, which model their phenology, depending on actual weather conditions, and suggest management decisions on that basis. Assessing the future risk of pest-related damages requires future weather data at high temporal and spatial resolution. Here, we use a combined stochastic weather generator and re-sampling procedure for producing site-specific hourly weather series representing present and future (1980–2009 and 2045–2074 time periods) climate conditions in Switzerland. The climate change scenarios originate from the ENSEMBLES multi-model projections and provide probabilistic information on future regional changes in temperature and precipitation. (en)
Title
  • Downscaling climate change scenarios for apple pest and disease modeling in Switzerland
  • Downscaling climate change scenarios for apple pest and disease modeling in Switzerland (en)
skos:prefLabel
  • Downscaling climate change scenarios for apple pest and disease modeling in Switzerland
  • Downscaling climate change scenarios for apple pest and disease modeling in Switzerland (en)
skos:notation
  • RIV/68378289:_____/12:00375089!RIV12-AV0-68378289
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivita
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivity
  • P(IAA300420806), Z(AV0Z30420517)
http://linked.open...iv/cisloPeriodika
  • 1
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http://linked.open...aciTvurceVysledku
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http://linked.open...iv/duvernostUdaju
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http://linked.open...dnocenehoVysledku
  • 132139
http://linked.open...ai/riv/idVysledku
  • RIV/68378289:_____/12:00375089
http://linked.open...riv/jazykVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/klicovaSlova
  • Climate change; downscaling; weather generator; pest and disease modelling; Switzerland (en)
http://linked.open.../riv/klicoveSlovo
http://linked.open...odStatuVydavatele
  • DE - Spolková republika Německo
http://linked.open...ontrolniKodProRIV
  • [0A411CA42AB6]
http://linked.open...i/riv/nazevZdroje
  • Earth System Dynamics
http://linked.open...in/vavai/riv/obor
http://linked.open...ichTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...cetTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...vavai/riv/projekt
http://linked.open...UplatneniVysledku
http://linked.open...v/svazekPeriodika
  • 3
http://linked.open...iv/tvurceVysledku
  • Calanca, P.
  • Dubrovský, Martin
  • Duffy, B.
  • Fischer, A. M.
  • Hirschi, M.
  • Rotach, M. V.
  • Samietz, J.
  • Spirig, C.
  • Stoeckli, S.
http://linked.open...n/vavai/riv/zamer
issn
  • 2190-4979
number of pages
http://bibframe.org/vocab/doi
  • 10.5194/esd-3-33-2012
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