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Description
  • The study examines whether recent occurrences of severe heat waves in central Europe were exceptional in the context of past fluctuations, and estimates their recurrence probabilities under several climate change scenarios. Probabilities of long and severe heat waves are estimated from daily temperature series generated by a first-order autoregressive model with a deterministic component (incorporating a seasonal cycle and a long-term trend). The return period of a heat wave reaching or exceeding the length of the 2006 heat wave in Prague is estimated to be around 120 years in 2006.
  • The study examines whether recent occurrences of severe heat waves in central Europe were exceptional in the context of past fluctuations, and estimates their recurrence probabilities under several climate change scenarios. Probabilities of long and severe heat waves are estimated from daily temperature series generated by a first-order autoregressive model with a deterministic component (incorporating a seasonal cycle and a long-term trend). The return period of a heat wave reaching or exceeding the length of the 2006 heat wave in Prague is estimated to be around 120 years in 2006. (en)
Title
  • Recent severe heat waves in central Europe: how to view them in a long-term prospect?
  • Recent severe heat waves in central Europe: how to view them in a long-term prospect? (en)
skos:prefLabel
  • Recent severe heat waves in central Europe: how to view them in a long-term prospect?
  • Recent severe heat waves in central Europe: how to view them in a long-term prospect? (en)
skos:notation
  • RIV/68378289:_____/10:00350685!RIV11-GA0-68378289
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivita
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivity
  • P(GC205/07/J044), Z(AV0Z30420517)
http://linked.open...iv/cisloPeriodika
  • 1
http://linked.open...vai/riv/dodaniDat
http://linked.open...aciTvurceVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/druhVysledku
http://linked.open...iv/duvernostUdaju
http://linked.open...titaPredkladatele
http://linked.open...dnocenehoVysledku
  • 284150
http://linked.open...ai/riv/idVysledku
  • RIV/68378289:_____/10:00350685
http://linked.open...riv/jazykVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/klicovaSlova
  • heat wave; climate variability; regional warming; stochastic modelling; probability estimates; central Europe (en)
http://linked.open.../riv/klicoveSlovo
http://linked.open...odStatuVydavatele
  • GB - Spojené království Velké Británie a Severního Irska
http://linked.open...ontrolniKodProRIV
  • [818709904B13]
http://linked.open...i/riv/nazevZdroje
  • International Journal of Climatology
http://linked.open...in/vavai/riv/obor
http://linked.open...ichTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...cetTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...vavai/riv/projekt
http://linked.open...UplatneniVysledku
http://linked.open...v/svazekPeriodika
  • 30
http://linked.open...iv/tvurceVysledku
  • Kyselý, Jan
http://linked.open...ain/vavai/riv/wos
  • 000273682500007
http://linked.open...n/vavai/riv/zamer
issn
  • 0899-8418
number of pages
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