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Description
  • A peaks-over-threshold analysis with increasing threshold censoring is applied to estimate multi-year return levels of daily rainfall amounts in a large ensemble of control and scenario outputs of 10 regional climate models over central Europe. Specific attention is devoted to the selection of threshold values used to delineate extremes and the estimation of confidence intervals. The results show that heavy precipitation events are likely to increase in severity in winter and (with less agreement among models) also in summer; however, the inter-model and intra-model variability in the pattern and magnitude of the change is large.
  • A peaks-over-threshold analysis with increasing threshold censoring is applied to estimate multi-year return levels of daily rainfall amounts in a large ensemble of control and scenario outputs of 10 regional climate models over central Europe. Specific attention is devoted to the selection of threshold values used to delineate extremes and the estimation of confidence intervals. The results show that heavy precipitation events are likely to increase in severity in winter and (with less agreement among models) also in summer; however, the inter-model and intra-model variability in the pattern and magnitude of the change is large. (en)
  • Metoda špiček nad prahy (%22peaks-over-threshold%22) s %22increasing threshold censoring%22 je aplikována k odhadům vysokých kvantilů rozdělení denních srážkových úhrnů v množině kontrolních simulací a scénářů z 10 regionálních klimatických modelů pokrývajících střední Evropu. Zvláštní pozornost je věnována volbě prahových hodnot použitých k výběru extrémů a odhadu intervalů spolehlivosti. Výsledky ukazují na pravděpodobný růst intenzity vydatných srážkových událostí v zimě a s menší mírou shody mezi modely v létě; mezimodelová proměnlivost polí a velikostí změn stejně jako proměnlivost v rámci ensemblů simulací z určitého modelu jsou nicméně velké. (cs)
Title
  • Increasing threshold censoring for the peaks-over-threshold analysis of probabilities of extreme events: application to regional climate model outputs
  • Metoda %22increasing threshold censoring%22 k %22peaks-over-threshold%22 analýze pravděpodobností extrémních jevů: aplikace na výstupy regionálních klimatických modelů (cs)
  • Increasing threshold censoring for the peaks-over-threshold analysis of probabilities of extreme events: application to regional climate model outputs (en)
skos:prefLabel
  • Increasing threshold censoring for the peaks-over-threshold analysis of probabilities of extreme events: application to regional climate model outputs
  • Metoda %22increasing threshold censoring%22 k %22peaks-over-threshold%22 analýze pravděpodobností extrémních jevů: aplikace na výstupy regionálních klimatických modelů (cs)
  • Increasing threshold censoring for the peaks-over-threshold analysis of probabilities of extreme events: application to regional climate model outputs (en)
skos:notation
  • RIV/68378289:_____/07:00089601!RIV08-GA0-68378289
http://linked.open.../vavai/riv/strany
  • 277;282
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivita
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivity
  • P(GA205/06/1535), P(KJB300420601), Z(AV0Z30420517)
http://linked.open...vai/riv/dodaniDat
http://linked.open...aciTvurceVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/druhVysledku
http://linked.open...iv/duvernostUdaju
http://linked.open...titaPredkladatele
http://linked.open...dnocenehoVysledku
  • 425956
http://linked.open...ai/riv/idVysledku
  • RIV/68378289:_____/07:00089601
http://linked.open...riv/jazykVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/klicovaSlova
  • regional climate models; climate change scenarios; extreme events; peaks-over-threshold analysis; heavy precipitation; central Europe (en)
http://linked.open.../riv/klicoveSlovo
http://linked.open...ontrolniKodProRIV
  • [C9CF31286B25]
http://linked.open...v/mistoKonaniAkce
  • Helsinki
http://linked.open...i/riv/mistoVydani
  • Helsinki
http://linked.open...i/riv/nazevZdroje
  • Proceedings of the third International Conference on Climate and Water
http://linked.open...in/vavai/riv/obor
http://linked.open...ichTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...cetTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...vavai/riv/projekt
http://linked.open...UplatneniVysledku
http://linked.open...iv/tvurceVysledku
  • Beranová, Romana
  • Kyselý, Jan
http://linked.open...vavai/riv/typAkce
http://linked.open.../riv/zahajeniAkce
http://linked.open...n/vavai/riv/zamer
number of pages
http://purl.org/ne...btex#hasPublisher
  • Finish Environment Institute
https://schema.org/isbn
  • 978-952-11-2790-8
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