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  • The paper deals with probability estimates of temperature extremes (annual temperature maxima and heat waves) in the Czech Republic. Two statistical methods of the probability estimations are compared; one based on the stochastic modelling of time series of daily maximum temperature (TMAX) using the first-order autoregressive (AR(1)) model, the other consisting in fitting extreme value distribution to the sample of annual temperature peaks. Application of the appropriate statistical tools indicates that the heat wave and particularly the long period of consecutive tropical days in 1994 were likely a more rare event than the record-breaking temperatures in July 1983 exceeding 40~C.
  • The paper deals with probability estimates of temperature extremes (annual temperature maxima and heat waves) in the Czech Republic. Two statistical methods of the probability estimations are compared; one based on the stochastic modelling of time series of daily maximum temperature (TMAX) using the first-order autoregressive (AR(1)) model, the other consisting in fitting extreme value distribution to the sample of annual temperature peaks. Application of the appropriate statistical tools indicates that the heat wave and particularly the long period of consecutive tropical days in 1994 were likely a more rare event than the record-breaking temperatures in July 1983 exceeding 40~C. (en)
Title
  • Probability estimates of extreme temperature events: stochastic modelling approach vs. extreme value distributions.
  • Probability estimates of extreme temperature events: stochastic modelling approach vs. extreme value distributions. (en)
skos:prefLabel
  • Probability estimates of extreme temperature events: stochastic modelling approach vs. extreme value distributions.
  • Probability estimates of extreme temperature events: stochastic modelling approach vs. extreme value distributions. (en)
skos:notation
  • RIV/68378289:_____/02:04020206!RIV/2003/GA0/A04003/N
http://linked.open.../vavai/riv/strany
  • 93;112
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivita
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivity
  • P(GA205/99/1561), P(IAA3042903), Z(AV0Z3042911)
http://linked.open...iv/cisloPeriodika
  • N/A
http://linked.open...vai/riv/dodaniDat
http://linked.open...aciTvurceVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/druhVysledku
http://linked.open...iv/duvernostUdaju
http://linked.open...titaPredkladatele
http://linked.open...dnocenehoVysledku
  • 660298
http://linked.open...ai/riv/idVysledku
  • RIV/68378289:_____/02:04020206
http://linked.open...riv/jazykVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/klicovaSlova
  • autoregressive model, extreme value distribution, L moments (en)
http://linked.open.../riv/klicoveSlovo
http://linked.open...odStatuVydavatele
  • CZ - Česká republika
http://linked.open...ontrolniKodProRIV
  • [430D553E823D]
http://linked.open...i/riv/nazevZdroje
  • Studia geophysica & geodaetica
http://linked.open...in/vavai/riv/obor
http://linked.open...ichTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...cetTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...ocetUcastnikuAkce
http://linked.open...nichUcastnikuAkce
http://linked.open...vavai/riv/projekt
http://linked.open...UplatneniVysledku
http://linked.open...v/svazekPeriodika
  • 46
http://linked.open...iv/tvurceVysledku
  • Kyselý, Jan
http://linked.open...n/vavai/riv/zamer
issn
  • 0039-3169
number of pages
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