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  • We examine the effect of research and development (R&D) on long-term economic growth using the Bayesian model averaging (BMA) to deal rigorously with model uncertainty. Previous empirical studies, which applied BMA, investigated the effect of dozens of regressors on long-term growth, but they did not examine the effect of R&D due to data unavailability. We extend these studies by proposing to capture the investment in R&D by the number of Nobel prizes in science. Using our indicator, the estimates show that R&D exerts a positive effect on long-term growth. This result is robust to many different parameter and model prior structures as well as to alternative definitions of R&D indicator.
  • We examine the effect of research and development (R&D) on long-term economic growth using the Bayesian model averaging (BMA) to deal rigorously with model uncertainty. Previous empirical studies, which applied BMA, investigated the effect of dozens of regressors on long-term growth, but they did not examine the effect of R&D due to data unavailability. We extend these studies by proposing to capture the investment in R&D by the number of Nobel prizes in science. Using our indicator, the estimates show that R&D exerts a positive effect on long-term growth. This result is robust to many different parameter and model prior structures as well as to alternative definitions of R&D indicator. (en)
Title
  • Research & development and growth: A Bayesian model averaging analysis
  • Research & development and growth: A Bayesian model averaging analysis (en)
skos:prefLabel
  • Research & development and growth: A Bayesian model averaging analysis
  • Research & development and growth: A Bayesian model averaging analysis (en)
skos:notation
  • RIV/67985556:_____/11:00364038!RIV12-AV0-67985556
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivita
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivity
  • P(GA402/09/0965), Z(AV0Z10750506), Z(MSM0021620841)
http://linked.open...iv/cisloPeriodika
  • 6
http://linked.open...vai/riv/dodaniDat
http://linked.open...aciTvurceVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/druhVysledku
http://linked.open...iv/duvernostUdaju
http://linked.open...titaPredkladatele
http://linked.open...dnocenehoVysledku
  • 226644
http://linked.open...ai/riv/idVysledku
  • RIV/67985556:_____/11:00364038
http://linked.open...riv/jazykVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/klicovaSlova
  • Research and development; Growth; Bayesian model averaging (en)
http://linked.open.../riv/klicoveSlovo
http://linked.open...odStatuVydavatele
  • NL - Nizozemsko
http://linked.open...ontrolniKodProRIV
  • [0717706A3602]
http://linked.open...i/riv/nazevZdroje
  • Economic Modelling
http://linked.open...in/vavai/riv/obor
http://linked.open...ichTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...cetTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...vavai/riv/projekt
http://linked.open...UplatneniVysledku
http://linked.open...v/svazekPeriodika
  • 28
http://linked.open...iv/tvurceVysledku
  • Horvath, Roman
http://linked.open...ain/vavai/riv/wos
  • 000298070200036
http://linked.open...n/vavai/riv/zamer
issn
  • 0264-9993
number of pages
http://bibframe.org/vocab/doi
  • 10.1016/j.econmod.2011.08.007
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