About: What can scenario modelling tell us about future European scale land use, and what not?

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An Entity of Type : http://linked.opendata.cz/ontology/domain/vavai/Vysledek, within Data Space : linked.opendata.cz associated with source document(s)

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rdf:type	skos:Concept http://linked.opendata.cz/ontology/domain/vavai/Vysledek
Description	Detailní popis je součástí anglického abstraktu. (cs) Given scenarios describing future climates and socio-techno-economics, this study estimates the consequences for agricultural land use, combining models of crop growth and farm decision making to predict profitability over the whole of Europe, driven solely by soil and climate at each location. Each location is then classified by its profitability as intensive or extensive agriculture or not suitable for agriculture. The main effects of both climate and socio-economics were in the agriculturally marginal areas of Europe. The results showed the effect of different climates is relatively small, whereas there are large variations when economic scenarios are included. Only Finland's agricultural area significantly responds to climate by increasing at the expense of forests in several scenarios. Several locations show more difference due to climate model (PCM versus HadCM3) than emission scenario, because of large differences in predicted precipitation, notably the Ardennes switching to arable i Given scenarios describing future climates and socio-techno-economics, this study estimates the consequences for agricultural land use, combining models of crop growth and farm decision making to predict profitability over the whole of Europe, driven solely by soil and climate at each location. Each location is then classified by its profitability as intensive or extensive agriculture or not suitable for agriculture. The main effects of both climate and socio-economics were in the agriculturally marginal areas of Europe. The results showed the effect of different climates is relatively small, whereas there are large variations when economic scenarios are included. Only Finland's agricultural area significantly responds to climate by increasing at the expense of forests in several scenarios. Several locations show more difference due to climate model (PCM versus HadCM3) than emission scenario, because of large differences in predicted precipitation, notably the Ardennes switching to arable i (en)
Title	What can scenario modelling tell us about future European scale land use, and what not? What can scenario modelling tell us about future European scale land use, and what not? (en) Co může odhalit scénářové modelování o budoucím využitím krajiny na evropské úrovni a co ne? (cs)
skos:prefLabel	What can scenario modelling tell us about future European scale land use, and what not? What can scenario modelling tell us about future European scale land use, and what not? (en) Co může odhalit scénářové modelování o budoucím využitím krajiny na evropské úrovni a co ne? (cs)
skos:notation	RIV/62156489:43210/06:00102903!RIV07-GA0-43210___
http://linked.open.../vavai/riv/strany	148;162
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivita	P
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivity	P(GP521/03/D059)
http://linked.open...iv/cisloPeriodika	1
http://linked.open...vai/riv/dodaniDat	2007
http://linked.open...aciTvurceVysledku	Trnka, Miroslav
http://linked.open.../riv/druhVysledku	J - Článek v odborném periodiku
http://linked.open...iv/duvernostUdaju	S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje nepodléhající ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
http://linked.open...titaPredkladatele	Mendelova univerzita v Brně / Agronomická fakulta
http://linked.open...dnocenehoVysledku	508956
http://linked.open...ai/riv/idVysledku	RIV/62156489:43210/06:00102903
http://linked.open...riv/jazykVysledku	eng - angličtina
http://linked.open.../riv/klicovaSlova	Agricultural land use; Crop model; Farm decision model; climate change (en)
http://linked.open.../riv/klicoveSlovo	Agricultural land use Farm decision model climate change Crop model
http://linked.open...odStatuVydavatele	NL - Nizozemsko
http://linked.open...ontrolniKodProRIV	[6643F07717A3]
http://linked.open...i/riv/nazevZdroje	Environmental Science & Policy
http://linked.open...in/vavai/riv/obor	GC
http://linked.open...ichTvurcuVysledku	1 (xsd:int)
http://linked.open...cetTvurcuVysledku	8 (xsd:int)
http://linked.open...vavai/riv/projekt	Application of the spatial analysis method for risk assessment and overview of adaptation strategies in spring barley production under changed climatic conditio
http://linked.open...UplatneniVysledku	2006
http://linked.open...v/svazekPeriodika	9
http://linked.open...iv/tvurceVysledku	Alexandrov, V. Trnka, Miroslav Cojocaru, G. Simota, C. Rounsevell, M. Audsley, Eric Koutsidou, E. Pearn, K.
issn	1462-9011
number of pages	15 (xsd:int)
http://localhost/t...ganizacniJednotka	43210

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