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  • We examine the ARIMA-ARCH type models for the volatility and forecasting models of Polish WIG20 stock indexes based on statistical (stochastic), machine learning methods and an intelligent methodology based on soft or granular computing and make comparisons with the class of RBF neural network and SVR models. To illustrate the forecasting performance of these approaches the learning aspects of RBF networks are presented. We show a new approach of function estimation for nonlinear time series model by means of a granular neural network based on Gaussian activation function modeled by cloud concept. In a comparative study is shown that the presented approach is able to model and predict high frequency data with reasonable accuracy and more efficient than statistical methods.
  • We examine the ARIMA-ARCH type models for the volatility and forecasting models of Polish WIG20 stock indexes based on statistical (stochastic), machine learning methods and an intelligent methodology based on soft or granular computing and make comparisons with the class of RBF neural network and SVR models. To illustrate the forecasting performance of these approaches the learning aspects of RBF networks are presented. We show a new approach of function estimation for nonlinear time series model by means of a granular neural network based on Gaussian activation function modeled by cloud concept. In a comparative study is shown that the presented approach is able to model and predict high frequency data with reasonable accuracy and more efficient than statistical methods. (en)
Title
  • Modelling and forecasting of WIG20 stock index
  • Modelling and forecasting of WIG20 stock index (en)
skos:prefLabel
  • Modelling and forecasting of WIG20 stock index
  • Modelling and forecasting of WIG20 stock index (en)
skos:notation
  • RIV/61989100:27510/14:86091222!RIV15-MSM-27510___
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivita
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivity
  • P(7AMB14PL029)
http://linked.open...vai/riv/dodaniDat
http://linked.open...aciTvurceVysledku
  • Marček, Dušan
http://linked.open.../riv/druhVysledku
http://linked.open...iv/duvernostUdaju
http://linked.open...titaPredkladatele
http://linked.open...dnocenehoVysledku
  • 29867
http://linked.open...ai/riv/idVysledku
  • RIV/61989100:27510/14:86091222
http://linked.open...riv/jazykVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/klicovaSlova
  • forecast accuracy granular computing.; cloud concept; neural networks; forecasting; volatility; classes ARCH-GARCH models; Time series (en)
http://linked.open.../riv/klicoveSlovo
http://linked.open...ontrolniKodProRIV
  • [BA57552738A2]
http://linked.open...v/mistoKonaniAkce
  • Ostrava
http://linked.open...i/riv/mistoVydani
  • Ostrava
http://linked.open...i/riv/nazevZdroje
  • Informační technologie pro praxi 2014 : VŠB-TUO, Faculty of Economics, 9th-10th October 2014
http://linked.open...in/vavai/riv/obor
http://linked.open...ichTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...cetTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...vavai/riv/projekt
http://linked.open...UplatneniVysledku
http://linked.open...iv/tvurceVysledku
  • Marček, Dušan
http://linked.open...vavai/riv/typAkce
http://linked.open.../riv/zahajeniAkce
number of pages
http://purl.org/ne...btex#hasPublisher
  • Vysoká škola báňská - Technická univerzita Ostrava
https://schema.org/isbn
  • 978-80-248-3555-6
http://localhost/t...ganizacniJednotka
  • 27510
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