About: Forecasting the consumption of plates in plants producing heavy plate cut shapes

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An Entity of Type : http://linked.opendata.cz/ontology/domain/vavai/Vysledek, within Data Space : linked.opendata.cz associated with source document(s)

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rdf:type	skos:Concept http://linked.opendata.cz/ontology/domain/vavai/Vysledek
Description	The paper is focused on search for suitable prediction models used for medium-term forecasting of the consumption of plates in plants producing heavy plate cut shapes. Demand time series for five product families, from the point of view of steel grade, have been assorted for this purpose. The time series include monthly demand data for the period from January 2007 to December 2009. Firstly, quantitative techniques based on time series analysis were used for the forecasting: simple moving average model with a multiplicative seasonal adjustment, Winter's exponential smoothing model and seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model. However, the application of these models is connected with two problems. First, time series are disrupted by the world crisis impacts. Second, time series does not affect the cycle component. That is why a prediction model using multilayer artificial neural network has been created. The paper is focused on search for suitable prediction models used for medium-term forecasting of the consumption of plates in plants producing heavy plate cut shapes. Demand time series for five product families, from the point of view of steel grade, have been assorted for this purpose. The time series include monthly demand data for the period from January 2007 to December 2009. Firstly, quantitative techniques based on time series analysis were used for the forecasting: simple moving average model with a multiplicative seasonal adjustment, Winter's exponential smoothing model and seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model. However, the application of these models is connected with two problems. First, time series are disrupted by the world crisis impacts. Second, time series does not affect the cycle component. That is why a prediction model using multilayer artificial neural network has been created. (en)
Title	Forecasting the consumption of plates in plants producing heavy plate cut shapes Forecasting the consumption of plates in plants producing heavy plate cut shapes (en)
skos:prefLabel	Forecasting the consumption of plates in plants producing heavy plate cut shapes Forecasting the consumption of plates in plants producing heavy plate cut shapes (en)
skos:notation	RIV/61989100:27360/10:86076813!RIV11-MSM-27360___
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivita	S
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivity	S
http://linked.open...vai/riv/dodaniDat	2011
http://linked.open...aciTvurceVysledku	Lenort, Radim
http://linked.open.../riv/druhVysledku	D - Článek ve sborníku
http://linked.open...iv/duvernostUdaju	S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje nepodléhající ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
http://linked.open...titaPredkladatele	Vysoká škola báňská - Technická univerzita Ostrava / Fakulta metalurgie a materiálového inženýrství
http://linked.open...dnocenehoVysledku	259511
http://linked.open...ai/riv/idVysledku	RIV/61989100:27360/10:86076813
http://linked.open...riv/jazykVysledku	eng - angličtina
http://linked.open.../riv/klicovaSlova	shapes; cut; plate; heavy; producing; plants; plates; consumption; Forecasting (en)
http://linked.open.../riv/klicoveSlovo	shapes heavy consumption plants Forecasting producing cut plate plates
http://linked.open...ontrolniKodProRIV	[FA7CC8CF9939]
http://linked.open...v/mistoKonaniAkce	Rožnov pod Radhoštěm
http://linked.open...i/riv/mistoVydani	Rožnov pod Radhoštěm
http://linked.open...i/riv/nazevZdroje	METAL 2010
http://linked.open...in/vavai/riv/obor	AH
http://linked.open...ichTvurcuVysledku	1 (xsd:int)
http://linked.open...cetTvurcuVysledku	3 (xsd:int)
http://linked.open...UplatneniVysledku	2010
http://linked.open...iv/tvurceVysledku	Lenort, Radim Feliks, J. Staš, David
http://linked.open...vavai/riv/typAkce	WRD - Světová
http://linked.open.../riv/zahajeniAkce	2010-05-18 (xsd:date)
number of pages	5 (xsd:int)
http://purl.org/ne...btex#hasPublisher	TANGER s.r.o. Ostrava
https://schema.org/isbn	978-80-87294-17-8
http://localhost/t...ganizacniJednotka	27360

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