About: The employment of goverment bond spreads in prediction of economic activity in EU-15     Goto   Sponge   NotDistinct   Permalink

An Entity of Type : http://linked.opendata.cz/ontology/domain/vavai/Vysledek, within Data Space : linked.opendata.cz associated with source document(s)

AttributesValues
rdf:type
Description
  • The yield curve – specifically the spread between long term and short term interest rates is a valuable forecasting tool. It is simple to use and significantly outperforms other financial and macroeconomic indicators in predicting recessions two to six quarters ahead. The steepness of the yield curve should be an excellent indicator of a possible future economic activity. A rise in the short rate tends to flatten the yield curve as well as to slow real growth the near term. This paper aims to analyse the dependence between slope of the yield curve and an economic activity of EU-15 between the years 2000 and 2013. The slope of the yield curve can be measured as the yield spread between sovereign 10-year bonds and sovereign 3-month bonds. The natural and probably the most popular measure of economic growth is by GDP growth, taken quarterly. The results showed that the best predictive lag of spread is a lag of four and five quarters. The theory says that it should be lag of four quarters.
  • The yield curve – specifically the spread between long term and short term interest rates is a valuable forecasting tool. It is simple to use and significantly outperforms other financial and macroeconomic indicators in predicting recessions two to six quarters ahead. The steepness of the yield curve should be an excellent indicator of a possible future economic activity. A rise in the short rate tends to flatten the yield curve as well as to slow real growth the near term. This paper aims to analyse the dependence between slope of the yield curve and an economic activity of EU-15 between the years 2000 and 2013. The slope of the yield curve can be measured as the yield spread between sovereign 10-year bonds and sovereign 3-month bonds. The natural and probably the most popular measure of economic growth is by GDP growth, taken quarterly. The results showed that the best predictive lag of spread is a lag of four and five quarters. The theory says that it should be lag of four quarters. (en)
Title
  • The employment of goverment bond spreads in prediction of economic activity in EU-15
  • The employment of goverment bond spreads in prediction of economic activity in EU-15 (en)
skos:prefLabel
  • The employment of goverment bond spreads in prediction of economic activity in EU-15
  • The employment of goverment bond spreads in prediction of economic activity in EU-15 (en)
skos:notation
  • RIV/00216224:14560/14:00076115!RIV15-MSM-14560___
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivita
http://linked.open...avai/riv/aktivity
  • S
http://linked.open...vai/riv/dodaniDat
http://linked.open...aciTvurceVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/druhVysledku
http://linked.open...iv/duvernostUdaju
http://linked.open...titaPredkladatele
http://linked.open...dnocenehoVysledku
  • 14480
http://linked.open...ai/riv/idVysledku
  • RIV/00216224:14560/14:00076115
http://linked.open...riv/jazykVysledku
http://linked.open.../riv/klicovaSlova
  • GDP prediction; yield curve; slope; spread (en)
http://linked.open.../riv/klicoveSlovo
http://linked.open...ontrolniKodProRIV
  • [8B49395ED614]
http://linked.open...v/mistoKonaniAkce
  • Ostravice
http://linked.open...i/riv/mistoVydani
  • Karviná
http://linked.open...i/riv/nazevZdroje
  • Conference Proceedings of the 12th International Scientific Conference %22Economic Policy in the European Union Member Countries%22
http://linked.open...in/vavai/riv/obor
http://linked.open...ichTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...cetTvurcuVysledku
http://linked.open...UplatneniVysledku
http://linked.open...iv/tvurceVysledku
  • Hvozdenská, Jana
http://linked.open...vavai/riv/typAkce
http://linked.open.../riv/zahajeniAkce
number of pages
http://purl.org/ne...btex#hasPublisher
  • Sileasian University, School of Business Administration
https://schema.org/isbn
  • 9788075100450
http://localhost/t...ganizacniJednotka
  • 14560
Faceted Search & Find service v1.16.118 as of Jun 21 2024


Alternative Linked Data Documents: ODE     Content Formats:   [cxml] [csv]     RDF   [text] [turtle] [ld+json] [rdf+json] [rdf+xml]     ODATA   [atom+xml] [odata+json]     Microdata   [microdata+json] [html]    About   
This material is Open Knowledge   W3C Semantic Web Technology [RDF Data] Valid XHTML + RDFa
OpenLink Virtuoso version 07.20.3240 as of Jun 21 2024, on Linux (x86_64-pc-linux-gnu), Single-Server Edition (126 GB total memory, 9 GB memory in use)
Data on this page belongs to its respective rights holders.
Virtuoso Faceted Browser Copyright © 2009-2024 OpenLink Software